Sport Recife at Fortaleza

Updated

Sport Recife

21.2%28.3%50.5%
Sport Recife WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.34
0Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Sport Recife
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 3-2 vs Vasco da Gama
L 0-3 at Palmeiras
T 2-2 vs Sao Paulo
Fortaleza
Money Line
L 1-4 at Palmeiras
W 0-2 vs Vitoria
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 1-0 vs Mirassol
L 1-2 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sport Recife+405+356+345+355+359+355+359+377.4
Fortaleza-149-119-122-120-122-120-119-108.3
Draw+275+261+245+252+251+252+261+269.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sport Recife-----+377.4
Fortaleza------108.3
Draw-----+269.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sport Recife: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sport Recife: 10.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sport Recife: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sport Recife ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+108o2¼-125o2¼-124o2¼-123o2¼-124o2¼-123o2¼-113
Underu2½-122u2½-127u2¼+105u2¼+104u2¼+101u2¼+104u2½-127u2¼+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-113
Under-----u2¼+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.2%
 
No60.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.27%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.91%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 54.16%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Sport Recife
Exactly 046.81%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 213.48%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 026.21%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.86%
Exactly 217.86%
Exactly 41.40%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sport Recife
Exactly 070.37%
Exactly 124.73%
Exactly 24.34%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 053.80%
Exactly 133.35%
Exactly 210.34%
Exactly 32.14%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sport Recife
Wins by 2+ goals6.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals24.14%
Wins by 3+ goals8.91%
Wins by 4+ goals2.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Sport Recife
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sport Recife
Wins by 1 goal14.91%
Wins by 2 goals4.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal26.32%
Wins by 2 goals15.23%
Wins by 3 goals6.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.73%12.27%
1.561.99%38.01%
2.534.98%65.02%
3.516.10%83.90%
4.56.19%93.81%
5.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Sport Recife Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.19%46.81%
1.517.65%82.35%
2.54.17%95.83%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.79%26.21%
1.538.69%61.31%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.14%37.86%
1.525.37%74.63%
2.57.51%92.49%
3.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sport Recife
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
12.27%
16.43%
11.00%
4.91%
1.64%
0.44%
1
9.31%
12.47%
8.35%
3.73%
1.25%
0.33%
2
3.53%
4.73%
3.17%
1.41%
0.47%
0.13%
3
0.89%
1.20%
0.80%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.17%
0.23%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Sport Recife
1-09.31%
2-03.53%
2-14.73%
3-00.89%
3-11.20%
3-20.80%
4-00.17%
4-10.23%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-012.27%
1-112.47%
2-23.17%
3-30.36%
Fortaleza
0-116.43%
0-211.00%
1-28.35%
0-34.91%
1-33.73%
2-31.41%
0-41.64%
1-41.25%
2-40.47%
3-40.12%
0-50.44%
1-50.33%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sport Recife
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
37.86%
23.47%
7.28%
1.50%
0.23%
1
13.30%
8.25%
2.56%
0.53%
0.08%
2
2.34%
1.45%
0.45%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Sport Recife
1-013.30%
2-02.34%
2-11.45%
3-00.27%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-037.86%
1-18.25%
2-20.45%
Fortaleza
0-123.47%
0-27.28%
1-22.56%
0-31.50%
1-30.53%
0-40.23%