Flamengo at Sao Paulo

Updated

Flamengo

41.5%27.7%30.8%
Flamengo WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
T 3-3 at Mirassol
W 0-1 vs Ceara
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-3 vs Bragantino
L 1-2 at Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vitoria
W 0-3 vs Internacional
L 0-6 at Fluminense
W 1-2 vs Juventude
L 1-3 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+100-+121+123+123+123+123+134.0
Sao Paulo+270-+270+282+282+282+282+300.8
Draw+240-+193+195+195+195+195+209.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+134.0
Sao Paulo-----+300.8
Draw-----+209.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o1¾-128o2+105o2+105o2+105o1¾-128o2+114
Underu2½-112-u1¾+108u2-125u2-125u2-125u2-125u2-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+114
Under-----u2-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.45%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.20%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.29%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 55.76%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 027.53%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 222.90%
Exactly 39.85%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 034.32%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 37.00%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.54%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 055.04%
Exactly 132.87%
Exactly 29.81%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 060.95%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals18.71%
Wins by 3+ goals6.55%
Wins by 4+ goals1.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals11.81%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal22.76%
Wins by 2 goals12.16%
Wins by 3 goals4.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal18.87%
Wins by 2 goals8.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.55%9.45%
1.568.26%31.74%
2.541.96%58.04%
3.521.28%78.72%
4.59.08%90.92%
5.53.33%96.67%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.47%27.53%
1.536.96%63.04%
2.514.06%85.94%
3.54.21%95.79%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.68%34.32%
1.528.98%71.02%
2.59.35%90.65%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.46%33.54%
1.529.82%70.18%
2.59.81%90.19%
3.52.52%97.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.45%
10.11%
5.40%
1.93%
0.52%
0.11%
1
12.19%
13.03%
6.97%
2.48%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.86%
8.41%
4.49%
1.60%
0.43%
0.09%
3
3.38%
3.61%
1.93%
0.69%
0.18%
0.04%
4
1.09%
1.17%
0.62%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-012.19%
2-07.86%
2-18.41%
3-03.38%
3-13.61%
3-21.93%
4-01.09%
4-11.17%
4-20.62%
4-30.22%
5-00.28%
5-10.30%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.45%
1-113.03%
2-24.49%
3-30.69%
Sao Paulo
0-110.11%
0-25.40%
1-26.97%
0-31.93%
1-32.48%
2-31.60%
0-40.52%
1-40.66%
2-40.43%
3-40.18%
0-50.11%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Score0123
0
33.54%
16.61%
4.11%
0.68%
1
20.03%
9.92%
2.46%
0.41%
2
5.98%
2.96%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.19%
0.59%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-020.03%
2-05.98%
2-12.96%
3-01.19%
3-10.59%
3-20.15%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-033.54%
1-19.92%
2-20.73%
Sao Paulo
0-116.61%
0-24.11%
1-22.46%
0-30.68%
1-30.41%
2-30.12%