Newcastle Utd at Qaraba?

Updated

Newcastle United

73.7%15.6%10.7%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawWin
2.58Projected Goals 0.89
6Final Score 1

Qarabag

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+405
W 0-3 vs PSV Eindhoven-335
T 2-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+120
L 1-2 at Marseille+132
W 0-2 vs Athletic Club-275
Qarabag
Money Line
L 0-6 at Liverpool+2500
W 2-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+255
L 4-2 vs Ajax+110
L 0-2 at Napoli+1400
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-242-303-290-295-295-295-290-258.2
Qaraba?+607+800+675+745+745+745+800+775.5
Draw+375+490+450+485+485+485+490+506.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd-245--283-265-270-290-265-258.2
Qaraba?+620-+690+600+590+700+700+775.5
Draw+395-+460+375+370+450+460+506.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Qaraba?: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -294 to -303
Qaraba? ML moved from +780 to +760

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from -265 to -290
Qaraba? ML moved from +690 to +670

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-121o3¼+101o3¼-105o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼+101o3¼-104
Underu2¾+101u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3½+105o3½+106o3½+110o3½+100o3½+110o3½+110o3¼-104
Underu3-125u3½-125u3½-126u3½-130u3½-130u3½-130u3½-125u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-114 to o3-101
The Under moved from u3½-115 to u3¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½-110
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.10%
Exactly 218.70%
Exactly 418.81%
Exactly 67.57%
Exactly 81.63%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.76%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 513.07%
Exactly 73.76%
Exactly 90.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 119.53%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Qarabag
Exactly 040.95%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.01%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.20%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 030.26%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Qarabag
Exactly 066.14%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals52.14%
Wins by 3+ goals31.22%
Wins by 4+ goals15.87%
Wins by 5+ goals6.92%
Qarabag
Wins by 2+ goals3.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.76%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Qarabag
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal21.52%
Wins by 2 goals20.93%
Wins by 3 goals15.35%
Wins by 4 goals8.95%
Wins by 5 goals4.31%
Qarabag
Wins by 1 goal7.44%
Wins by 2 goals2.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.63%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.90%3.10%
1.586.14%13.86%
2.567.45%32.55%
3.545.79%54.21%
4.526.98%73.02%
5.513.91%86.09%
6.56.34%93.66%
7.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.91%27.09%
2.547.70%52.30%
3.526.01%73.99%
4.512.00%88.00%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Qarabag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.05%40.95%
1.522.49%77.51%
2.56.17%93.83%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.99%20.01%
1.547.79%52.21%
2.521.89%78.11%
3.58.00%92.00%
4.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Qarabag
Score0123
0
3.10%
2.77%
1.23%
0.37%
1
8.00%
7.14%
3.19%
0.95%
2
10.32%
9.22%
4.11%
1.22%
3
8.88%
7.93%
3.54%
1.05%
4
5.73%
5.12%
2.29%
0.68%
5
2.96%
2.64%
1.18%
0.35%
Newcastle United
1-08.00%
2-010.32%
2-19.22%
3-08.88%
3-17.93%
3-23.54%
4-05.73%
4-15.12%
4-22.29%
4-30.68%
5-02.96%
5-12.64%
5-21.18%
5-30.35%
Draw
0-03.10%
1-17.14%
2-24.11%
3-31.05%
4-40.15%
Qarabag
0-12.77%
0-21.23%
1-23.19%
0-30.37%
1-30.95%
2-31.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Qarabag
Score0123
0
20.01%
8.27%
1.71%
0.24%
1
23.92%
9.89%
2.04%
0.28%
2
14.30%
5.91%
1.22%
0.17%
3
5.70%
2.36%
0.49%
0.07%
4
1.70%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
5
0.41%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-023.92%
2-014.30%
2-15.91%
3-05.70%
3-12.36%
3-20.49%
4-01.70%
4-10.70%
4-20.15%
5-00.41%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-020.01%
1-19.89%
2-21.22%
Qarabag
0-18.27%
0-21.71%
1-22.04%
0-30.24%
1-30.28%
2-30.17%