Ajax at Qaraba?

Updated

Ajax

43.9%24.4%31.7%
Ajax WinDrawQaraba? Win
1.60Projected Goals 1.32

Qarabag

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica+290
L 3-0 vs Galatasaray+230
L 1-5 at Chelsea+750
L 0-4 at Marseille+520
L 2-0 vs Inter+410
Qarabag
Money Line
L 0-2 at Napoli+1400
T 2-2 vs Chelsea+800
L 1-3 at Athletic Club+860
W 0-2 vs FC Copenhagen+275
W 3-2 at Benfica+1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+225+230+230+228+228+228+230+247.2
Qaraba?+105+102+101+105+103+103+103+114.9
Draw+290+290+295+275+283+283+295+305.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+247.2
Qaraba?-----+114.9
Draw-----+305.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Qaraba?: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On Qaraba? ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-113
Underu2¾+105u2¾+104u2¾+105u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+105u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-113
Under-----u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.5%
 
No41.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.40%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 416.33%
Exactly 64.64%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.76%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.53%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 020.24%
Exactly 132.33%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 313.75%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Qarabag
Exactly 026.68%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 310.26%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.89%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 310.65%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 047.73%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Qarabag
Exactly 054.24%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 210.15%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals22.33%
Wins by 3+ goals9.12%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Qarabag
Wins by 2+ goals13.78%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Qarabag
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.56%
Wins by 2 goals13.21%
Wins by 3 goals6.06%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Qarabag
Wins by 1 goal17.83%
Wins by 2 goals9.04%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.60%5.40%
1.578.84%21.16%
2.555.84%44.16%
3.533.46%66.54%
4.517.13%82.87%
5.57.60%92.40%
6.52.96%97.04%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.76%20.24%
1.547.42%52.58%
2.521.60%78.40%
3.57.85%92.15%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Qarabag Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.32%26.68%
1.538.07%61.93%
2.514.78%85.22%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.11%25.89%
1.539.13%60.87%
2.515.49%84.51%
3.54.84%95.16%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Qarabag
Score012345
0
5.40%
7.14%
4.71%
2.08%
0.69%
0.18%
1
8.63%
11.40%
7.53%
3.32%
1.10%
0.29%
2
6.89%
9.10%
6.01%
2.65%
0.88%
0.23%
3
3.67%
4.85%
3.20%
1.41%
0.47%
0.12%
4
1.47%
1.94%
1.28%
0.56%
0.19%
0.05%
5
0.47%
0.62%
0.41%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
Ajax
1-08.63%
2-06.89%
2-19.10%
3-03.67%
3-14.85%
3-23.20%
4-01.47%
4-11.94%
4-21.28%
4-30.56%
5-00.47%
5-10.62%
5-20.41%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.40%
1-111.40%
2-26.01%
3-31.41%
4-40.19%
Qarabag
0-17.14%
0-24.71%
1-27.53%
0-32.08%
1-33.32%
2-32.65%
0-40.69%
1-41.10%
2-40.88%
3-40.47%
0-50.18%
1-50.29%
2-50.23%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Qarabag
Score01234
0
25.89%
15.84%
4.84%
0.99%
0.15%
1
19.15%
11.71%
3.58%
0.73%
0.11%
2
7.08%
4.33%
1.33%
0.27%
0.04%
3
1.75%
1.07%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.32%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-019.15%
2-07.08%
2-14.33%
3-01.75%
3-11.07%
3-20.33%
4-00.32%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-025.89%
1-111.71%
2-21.33%
Qarabag
0-115.84%
0-24.84%
1-23.58%
0-30.99%
1-30.73%
2-30.27%
0-40.15%
1-40.11%
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