Atalanta at Paris S-G

Updated

Atalanta

19.9%21.8%58.3%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.94
0Final Score 4

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Club Brugge-210
L 1-2 at Club Brugge+130
T 2-2 at Barcelona+380
W 0-5 vs Sturm Graz-495
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+160
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Inter+110
W 1-2 vs Arsenal+130
W 1-0 at Arsenal+237
L 2-3 at Aston Villa+110
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+740--+680+642+680+680+708.6
Paris S-G-308---250-271-250-250-221.6
Draw+437--+415+401+415+415+433.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+575-+611+500+490+660+660+708.6
Paris S-G-230--240-250-265-255-240-221.6
Draw+390-+385+370+330+400+400+433.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 40.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 20.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +639 to +606
Paris S-G ML moved from -265 to -271

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 40.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 10.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +620 to +610
Paris S-G ML moved from -255 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120--o3-118o3-115o3-118o3-115o3-107
Underu3+100--u3-102u3-105u3-102u3-102u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-110o3-120o3-125o3-115o3-110o3-107
Underu3-115u3+100u3-110u3+100u3-105u3-105u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%
 
No44.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.06%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 64.96%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.09%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.98%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 014.34%
Exactly 127.85%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.51%
Exactly 48.50%
Exactly 53.30%
Exactly 61.07%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.11%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 311.04%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 040.68%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.45%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals7.06%
Wins by 3+ goals1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals34.50%
Wins by 3+ goals16.65%
Wins by 4+ goals6.64%
Wins by 5+ goals2.21%
Wins by 6+ goals0.59%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Paris Saint-Germain
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal12.74%
Wins by 2 goals5.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals17.84%
Wins by 3 goals10.01%
Wins by 4 goals4.44%
Wins by 5 goals1.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.94%5.06%
1.579.85%20.15%
2.557.33%42.67%
3.534.93%65.07%
4.518.21%81.79%
5.58.24%91.76%
6.53.27%96.73%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.97%72.03%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.66%14.34%
1.557.82%42.18%
2.530.77%69.23%
3.513.26%86.74%
4.54.76%95.24%
5.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.89%25.11%
1.540.19%59.81%
2.516.21%83.79%
3.55.17%94.83%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
5.06%
9.82%
9.54%
6.18%
3.00%
1.17%
1
5.27%
10.24%
9.94%
6.44%
3.13%
1.21%
2
2.75%
5.33%
5.18%
3.35%
1.63%
0.63%
3
0.95%
1.85%
1.80%
1.16%
0.57%
0.22%
4
0.25%
0.48%
0.47%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
Atalanta
1-05.27%
2-02.75%
2-15.33%
3-00.95%
3-11.85%
3-21.80%
4-00.25%
4-10.48%
4-20.47%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-05.06%
1-110.24%
2-25.18%
3-31.16%
4-40.15%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-19.82%
0-29.54%
1-29.94%
0-36.18%
1-36.44%
2-33.35%
0-43.00%
1-43.13%
2-41.63%
3-40.57%
0-51.17%
1-51.21%
2-50.63%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
25.11%
22.58%
10.16%
3.04%
0.68%
0.12%
1
12.12%
10.90%
4.90%
1.47%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.92%
2.63%
1.18%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.47%
0.42%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-012.12%
2-02.92%
2-12.63%
3-00.47%
3-10.42%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-025.11%
1-110.90%
2-21.18%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-122.58%
0-210.16%
1-24.90%
0-33.04%
1-31.47%
2-30.35%
0-40.68%
1-40.33%
0-50.12%