Lech Poznan at Red Star

Updated

Lech Poznan

35.6%29.0%35.4%
Lech Poznan WinDrawRed Star Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.11
1Final Score 1

Red Star

Last Games

Lech Poznan
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Red Star+155
Red Star
Money Line
W 3-1 at Lech Poznan+165
W 1-0 at Young Boys+165
L 3-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+325
L 1-2 at Milan+1025
W 1-5 vs VfB Stuttgart+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lech Poznan+450+445+460+500+483+500+500+529.9
Red Star-192-194-211-195-210-195-194-170.0
Draw+310+353+340+350+352+350+353+372.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lech Poznan+475---+440+485+485+529.9
Red Star-185----225-185-185-170.0
Draw+335---+300+330+330+372.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Lech Poznan: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lech Poznan: 60.0%
Red Star: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lech Poznan: 20.0%
Red Star: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lech Poznan ML moved from +475 to +460
Red Star ML moved from -210 to -216

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lech Poznan: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Star: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lech Poznan: 60.0%
Red Star: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lech Poznan: 10.0%
Red Star: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lech Poznan ML moved from +485 to +460
Red Star ML moved from -210 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½+109o3¼-128o3¼-115o3¼-116o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-104
Underu3-125u3½-133u3¼-102u3¼-105u3¼-104u3¼-105u3½-133u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105---o3-135o3-140o3-135o3¼-104
Underu3-125---u3+105u3+120u3+120u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-114 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.90%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 410.96%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.16%
Exactly 319.78%
Exactly 54.86%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Lech Poznan
Exactly 032.97%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Red Star
Exactly 033.07%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.84%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lech Poznan
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Red Star
Exactly 059.91%
Exactly 130.69%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lech Poznan
Wins by 2+ goals14.26%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Red Star
Wins by 2+ goals14.17%
Wins by 3+ goals4.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Lech Poznan
Red Star
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lech Poznan
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals9.91%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Red Star
Wins by 1 goal21.15%
Wins by 2 goals9.86%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.10%10.90%
1.564.93%35.07%
2.538.16%61.84%
3.518.38%81.62%
4.57.42%92.58%
5.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Lech Poznan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.03%32.97%
1.530.44%69.56%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Red Star Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.93%33.07%
1.530.33%69.67%
2.510.09%89.91%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.16%35.84%
1.527.38%72.62%
2.58.51%91.49%
3.52.06%97.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lech Poznan
Red Star
Score012345
0
10.90%
12.07%
6.68%
2.46%
0.68%
0.15%
1
12.10%
13.39%
7.41%
2.73%
0.76%
0.17%
2
6.71%
7.43%
4.11%
1.52%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.48%
2.75%
1.52%
0.56%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.69%
0.76%
0.42%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Lech Poznan
1-012.10%
2-06.71%
2-17.43%
3-02.48%
3-12.75%
3-21.52%
4-00.69%
4-10.76%
4-20.42%
4-30.16%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.90%
1-113.39%
2-24.11%
3-30.56%
Red Star
0-112.07%
0-26.68%
1-27.41%
0-32.46%
1-32.73%
2-31.52%
0-40.68%
1-40.76%
2-40.42%
3-40.16%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Lech Poznan
Red Star
Score01234
0
35.84%
18.36%
4.70%
0.80%
0.10%
1
18.41%
9.43%
2.42%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.73%
2.42%
0.62%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.81%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Lech Poznan
1-018.41%
2-04.73%
2-12.42%
3-00.81%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.84%
1-19.43%
2-20.62%
Red Star
0-118.36%
0-24.70%
1-22.42%
0-30.80%
1-30.41%
2-30.11%
0-40.10%