Napoli at Union Berlin

Updated

Napoli

41.0%26.9%32.1%
Napoli WinDrawUnion Berlin Win
1.34Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 0

Union Berlin

Last Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+165
W 2-1 at Braga-145
T 1-1 vs Milan+100
L 0-1 at Milan+189
W 0-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-250
Union Berlin
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Braga+100
L 0-1 at Real Madrid+725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+107+113+110+114+116+116+116+123.5
Union Berlin+258+258+250+255+255+255+258+267.3
Draw+260+244+250+250+245+245+250+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-125-+118--125+115+118+123.5
Union Berlin+260-+242-+260+245+260+267.3
Draw+260-+238-+260+240+260+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +101 to -102
Union Berlin ML moved from +265 to +258

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -105 to -115
Union Berlin ML moved from +275 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128o2½-104o2½-102o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2½+113
Underu2½+108u2½-114u2½-118u2½-124u2½-124u2½-124u2½-114u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½+105o2½+105-o2½-115o2½+105o2½+105o2½+113
Underu2½+105u2½-125u2½-125-u2½-115u2½-125u2½-115u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-116 to o2¾-103
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+110 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 026.25%
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 310.47%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 031.64%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 38.04%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 053.84%
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 210.32%
Exactly 32.13%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 058.70%
Exactly 131.27%
Exactly 28.33%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals18.78%
Wins by 3+ goals6.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals13.00%
Wins by 3+ goals4.08%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Union Berlin
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal22.15%
Wins by 2 goals12.05%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal19.06%
Wins by 2 goals8.92%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.03%28.97%
2.545.31%54.69%
3.523.99%76.01%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.75%26.25%
1.538.64%61.36%
2.515.16%84.84%
3.54.69%95.31%
4.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.36%31.64%
1.531.95%68.05%
2.511.00%89.00%
3.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.532.00%68.00%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Union Berlin
Score012345
0
8.31%
9.56%
5.50%
2.11%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.11%
12.78%
7.36%
2.82%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.43%
8.55%
4.92%
1.89%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.31%
3.81%
2.19%
0.84%
0.24%
0.06%
4
1.11%
1.27%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.30%
0.34%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-011.11%
2-07.43%
2-18.55%
3-03.31%
3-13.81%
3-22.19%
4-01.11%
4-11.27%
4-20.73%
4-30.28%
5-00.30%
5-10.34%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-112.78%
2-24.92%
3-30.84%
Union Berlin
0-19.56%
0-25.50%
1-27.36%
0-32.11%
1-32.82%
2-31.89%
0-40.61%
1-40.81%
2-40.54%
3-40.24%
0-50.14%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Union Berlin
Score01234
0
31.60%
16.84%
4.49%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.57%
10.43%
2.78%
0.49%
0.07%
2
6.06%
3.23%
0.86%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.25%
0.67%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Napoli
1-019.57%
2-06.06%
2-13.23%
3-01.25%
3-10.67%
3-20.18%
4-00.19%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-031.60%
1-110.43%
2-20.86%
Union Berlin
0-116.84%
0-24.49%
1-22.78%
0-30.80%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%