Milan at Napoli

Updated

Milan

21.6%23.4%55.0%
Milan WinDrawNapoli Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.77
1Final Score 1

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Napoli+172
T 0-0 at Tottenham+360
W 0-1 vs Tottenham+145
W 0-4 vs RB Salzburg-205
W 4-0 at Dinamo Zagreb-145
Napoli
Money Line
L 0-1 at Milan+189
W 0-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-250
W 2-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt+118
L 0-2 at Liverpool+267
W 0-3 vs Rangers-360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+340+360+350+350+338+350+360+365.7
Napoli-120-120-120-122-109-122-109-113.2
Draw+255+260+255+280+266+280+280+293.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+360-+345-130+350+350+350+365.7
Napoli-125--120+100-140-120+100-113.2
Draw+260-+261+0+255+255+261+293.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +353 to +338
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Napoli: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -115 to -130
Napoli ML moved from +115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½+108o2¼-118o2¼-115o2½+120o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2¼-112u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-105u2½-135u2¼-105u2½-128u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+105o2½+113-o2½+100o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-104
Underu2½-130u2½-125u2½-133-u2½-130u2½-140u2½-125u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.19%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 415.46%
Exactly 63.99%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.22%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.60%
Exactly 71.59%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 036.19%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 017.10%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.70%
Exactly 46.93%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.57%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 062.46%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 044.14%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.76%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals7.68%
Wins by 3+ goals2.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals30.76%
Wins by 3+ goals13.87%
Wins by 4+ goals5.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Napoli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal13.90%
Wins by 2 goals5.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals16.89%
Wins by 3 goals8.74%
Wins by 4 goals3.56%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.81%6.19%
1.576.59%23.41%
2.552.64%47.36%
3.530.42%69.58%
4.514.96%85.04%
5.56.36%93.64%
6.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.81%36.19%
1.527.03%72.97%
2.58.34%91.66%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.90%17.10%
1.552.70%47.30%
2.526.03%73.97%
3.510.33%89.67%
4.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.43%27.57%
1.536.90%63.10%
2.514.02%85.98%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Napoli
Score012345
0
6.19%
10.93%
9.65%
5.68%
2.51%
0.89%
1
6.29%
11.11%
9.81%
5.77%
2.55%
0.90%
2
3.20%
5.65%
4.99%
2.93%
1.30%
0.46%
3
1.08%
1.91%
1.69%
0.99%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.28%
0.49%
0.43%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
Milan
1-06.29%
2-03.20%
2-15.65%
3-01.08%
3-11.91%
3-21.69%
4-00.28%
4-10.49%
4-20.43%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.19%
1-111.11%
2-24.99%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Napoli
0-110.93%
0-29.65%
1-29.81%
0-35.68%
1-35.77%
2-32.93%
0-42.51%
1-42.55%
2-41.30%
3-40.44%
0-50.89%
1-50.90%
2-50.46%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Napoli
Score01234
0
27.57%
22.55%
9.22%
2.51%
0.51%
1
12.98%
10.61%
4.34%
1.18%
0.24%
2
3.05%
2.50%
1.02%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.48%
0.39%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-012.98%
2-03.05%
2-12.50%
3-00.48%
3-10.39%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.57%
1-110.61%
2-21.02%
Napoli
0-122.55%
0-29.22%
1-24.34%
0-32.51%
1-31.18%
2-30.28%
0-40.51%
1-40.24%