Ajax at Chelsea

Updated

Ajax

5.7%11.6%82.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.89
1Final Score 5

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 0-4 at Marseille+520
L 2-0 vs Inter+410
W 3-1 at Rangers-120
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+273
L 2-4 at Napoli+400
Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Benfica-146
L 1-3 at Bayern Munich+350
L 2-0 vs Real Madrid+700
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+475
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+900+711+650+650+650+650+711+676.6
Chelsea-410-288-290-272-272-272-272-240.3
Draw+550+474+460+485+485+485+485+505.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+900-+700+750-+750+750+676.6
Chelsea-420--300-385--325-300-240.3
Draw+570-+475+475-+495+495+505.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +700 to +640
Chelsea ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +745 to +700
Chelsea ML moved from -290 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+118o3¼-110o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3½-120u3½-138u3¼-110u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3½-138u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3-150o3-150o3½+105o3½+100o3½+115o3-150o3¼+104
Underu3½-120u3+130u3+130u3½-125u3½-130u3½-135u3½-125u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.86%
Exactly 218.07%
Exactly 419.02%
Exactly 68.01%
Exactly 81.81%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.17%
Exactly 321.40%
Exactly 513.52%
Exactly 74.07%
Exactly 90.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 051.71%
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 05.53%
Exactly 116.01%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 416.18%
Exactly 59.37%
Exactly 64.52%
Exactly 71.87%
Exactly 80.68%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.29%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 45.89%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 314.33%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 073.69%
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 23.44%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 026.18%
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 223.51%
Exactly 310.50%
Exactly 43.52%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals1.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals63.49%
Wins by 3+ goals41.81%
Wins by 4+ goals23.55%
Wins by 5+ goals11.43%
Wins by 6+ goals4.82%
Wins by 7+ goals1.76%
Wins by 8+ goals0.54%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal4.35%
Wins by 2 goals1.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal19.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.68%
Wins by 3 goals18.26%
Wins by 4 goals12.12%
Wins by 5 goals6.61%
Wins by 6 goals3.06%
Wins by 7 goals1.22%
Wins by 8 goals0.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.14%2.86%
1.586.97%13.03%
2.568.91%31.09%
3.547.51%52.49%
4.528.49%71.51%
5.514.97%85.03%
6.56.96%93.04%
7.52.89%97.11%
8.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.29%51.71%
1.514.19%85.81%
2.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.47%5.53%
1.578.46%21.54%
2.555.29%44.71%
3.532.92%67.08%
4.516.74%83.26%
5.57.37%92.63%
6.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.71%19.29%
1.548.97%51.03%
2.522.85%77.15%
3.58.52%91.48%
4.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Chelsea
Score012345
0
2.86%
8.28%
11.98%
11.56%
8.37%
4.85%
1
1.89%
5.46%
7.90%
7.63%
5.52%
3.20%
2
0.62%
1.80%
2.61%
2.51%
1.82%
1.05%
3
0.14%
0.40%
0.57%
0.55%
0.40%
0.23%
Ajax
1-01.89%
2-00.62%
2-11.80%
3-00.14%
3-10.40%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-02.86%
1-15.46%
2-22.61%
3-30.55%
Chelsea
0-18.28%
0-211.98%
1-27.90%
0-311.56%
1-37.63%
2-32.51%
0-48.37%
1-45.52%
2-41.82%
3-40.40%
0-54.85%
1-53.20%
2-51.05%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
19.29%
25.85%
17.33%
7.74%
2.59%
0.70%
0.16%
1
5.89%
7.89%
5.29%
2.36%
0.79%
0.21%
0.05%
2
0.90%
1.21%
0.81%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Ajax
1-05.89%
2-00.90%
2-11.21%
Draw
0-019.29%
1-17.89%
2-20.81%
Chelsea
0-125.85%
0-217.33%
1-25.29%
0-37.74%
1-32.36%
2-30.36%
0-42.59%
1-40.79%
2-40.12%
0-50.70%
1-50.21%
0-60.16%