Benfica at Chelsea

Updated

Benfica

13.9%19.7%66.5%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.09
0Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Qarabag-620
W 0-1 vs Fenerbahce-150
T 0-0 at Fenerbahce+140
W 0-2 vs Nice-225
L 1-3 at Barcelona+600
Chelsea
Money Line
L 1-3 at Bayern Munich+350
L 2-0 vs Real Madrid+700
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+475
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-140
L 0-1 at Dortmund+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+465+420+440+425+413+425+440+443.6
Chelsea-172-147-154-148-152-148-147-136.1
Draw+332+295+280+303+288+303+303+317.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+415-+415+400+380+400+400+443.6
Chelsea-180--146-170-160-150-146-136.1
Draw+300-+312+300+270+300+300+317.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Chelsea: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +395 to +386
Chelsea ML moved from -141 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +415 to +380
No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o2½-139o2¾+108o2¾+100o2¾-107o2¾+100o2¾+108o2¾+109
Underu3-123u2½+118u2¾-128u2¾-120u2¾-113u2¾-120u2¾-113u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+110o3+120o3+110o3+100o2½-140o2½-140o2¾+109
Underu3-125u3-130u3-140u3-130u3-130u2½+120u3-130u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.37%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 416.36%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.71%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.57%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 043.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.08%
Exactly 34.19%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 012.35%
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.83%
Exactly 49.84%
Exactly 54.12%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.83%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 068.00%
Exactly 126.22%
Exactly 25.06%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 037.98%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals4.15%
Wins by 3+ goals0.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals42.12%
Wins by 3+ goals21.89%
Wins by 4+ goals9.46%
Wins by 5+ goals3.45%
Wins by 6+ goals1.07%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal9.68%
Wins by 2 goals3.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals20.23%
Wins by 3 goals12.44%
Wins by 4 goals6.01%
Wins by 5 goals2.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.63%5.37%
1.578.92%21.08%
2.555.96%44.04%
3.533.58%66.42%
4.517.21%82.79%
5.57.65%92.35%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.52%43.48%
1.520.31%79.69%
2.55.23%94.77%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.65%12.35%
1.561.81%38.19%
2.534.80%65.20%
3.515.97%84.03%
4.56.12%93.88%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.17%25.83%
1.539.21%60.79%
2.515.55%84.45%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Chelsea
Score012345
0
5.37%
11.23%
11.74%
8.19%
4.28%
1.79%
1
4.47%
9.36%
9.78%
6.82%
3.56%
1.49%
2
1.86%
3.90%
4.07%
2.84%
1.48%
0.62%
3
0.52%
1.08%
1.13%
0.79%
0.41%
0.17%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.24%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
Benfica
1-04.47%
2-01.86%
2-13.90%
3-00.52%
3-11.08%
3-21.13%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.24%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.37%
1-19.36%
2-24.07%
3-30.79%
Chelsea
0-111.23%
0-211.74%
1-29.78%
0-38.19%
1-36.82%
2-32.84%
0-44.28%
1-43.56%
2-41.48%
3-40.41%
0-51.79%
1-51.49%
2-50.62%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Chelsea
Score012345
0
25.83%
25.00%
12.10%
3.91%
0.95%
0.18%
1
9.96%
9.64%
4.67%
1.51%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.92%
1.86%
0.90%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-09.96%
2-01.92%
2-11.86%
3-00.25%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.83%
1-19.64%
2-20.90%
Chelsea
0-125.00%
0-212.10%
1-24.67%
0-33.91%
1-31.51%
2-30.29%
0-40.95%
1-40.36%
0-50.18%