Benfica at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Benfica

19.8%22.9%57.3%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.81
0Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 0-1 at Chelsea+400
L 3-2 vs Qarabag-620
W 0-1 vs Fenerbahce-150
T 0-0 at Fenerbahce+140
W 0-2 vs Nice-225
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-0 at Union SG-110
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+150
L 2-1 vs Milan-115
T 1-1 at Paris Saint-Germain+405
L 0-2 at Dortmund+164

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+395+425+450+445+445+445+450+464.1
Newcastle Utd-148-150-159-151-151-151-150-138.8
Draw+314+302+290+300+300+300+302+314.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+400-+407+400+395+420+420+464.1
Newcastle Utd-160--150-175-185-155-150-138.8
Draw+310-+300+320+320+300+320+314.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +429 to +412
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +450 to +420
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -160 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-127o2½-120o2½-118o2½-117o2½-117o2½-117o2½-117o2½-106
Underu2½+108u2½+102u2½-102u2½-103u2½-103u2½-103u2½+102u2½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-130o2½-115o2½-105-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-106
Underu2½+105u2½+110u2½-105u2½-115-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+110 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.27%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 415.37%
Exactly 63.93%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.36%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.51%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 038.26%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 016.39%
Exactly 129.64%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.16%
Exactly 47.31%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.80%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.74%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 064.09%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 043.28%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals6.72%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals32.75%
Wins by 3+ goals15.10%
Wins by 4+ goals5.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal13.01%
Wins by 2 goals4.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals17.65%
Wins by 3 goals9.38%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.73%6.27%
1.576.37%23.63%
2.552.32%47.68%
3.530.13%69.87%
4.514.76%85.24%
5.56.25%93.75%
6.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.74%38.26%
1.524.98%75.02%
2.57.32%92.68%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.61%16.39%
1.553.98%46.02%
2.527.17%72.83%
3.511.01%88.99%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.26%27.74%
1.536.69%63.31%
2.513.88%86.12%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
6.27%
11.34%
10.26%
6.18%
2.80%
1.01%
1
6.02%
10.89%
9.85%
5.94%
2.69%
0.97%
2
2.89%
5.23%
4.73%
2.85%
1.29%
0.47%
3
0.93%
1.68%
1.52%
0.91%
0.41%
0.15%
4
0.22%
0.40%
0.36%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Benfica
1-06.02%
2-02.89%
2-15.23%
3-00.93%
3-11.68%
3-21.52%
4-00.22%
4-10.40%
4-20.36%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.27%
1-110.89%
2-24.73%
3-30.91%
Newcastle United
0-111.34%
0-210.26%
1-29.85%
0-36.18%
1-35.94%
2-32.85%
0-42.80%
1-42.69%
2-41.29%
3-40.41%
0-51.01%
1-50.97%
2-50.47%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
27.74%
23.23%
9.73%
2.72%
0.57%
1
12.34%
10.33%
4.33%
1.21%
0.25%
2
2.74%
2.30%
0.96%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.41%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Benfica
1-012.34%
2-02.74%
2-12.30%
3-00.41%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.74%
1-110.33%
2-20.96%
Newcastle United
0-123.23%
0-29.73%
1-24.33%
0-32.72%
1-31.21%
2-30.27%
0-40.57%
1-40.25%