Chelsea at Dortmund

Updated

Chelsea

32.7%25.8%41.5%
Chelsea WinDrawDortmund Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.44
0Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb-485
W 2-1 at RB Salzburg-136
W 2-0 at Milan+130
W 0-3 vs Milan-140
T 1-1 vs RB Salzburg-330
Dortmund
Money Line
T 1-1 at FC Copenhagen-140
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+380
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-245
W 4-1 at Sevilla+130
L 1-2 at Manchester City+1250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+157+216+210+218+223+218+223+230.2
Dortmund+181+134+130+135+138+135+138+143.3
Draw+240+238+240+240+242+240+242+249.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+175-+207-+205+220+220+230.2
Dortmund+150-+130-+110+130+130+143.3
Draw+250-+243-+210+230+243+249.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +216 to +209
Dortmund ML moved from +142 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +213 to +207
Dortmund ML moved from +134 to +128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-127o2½-105o2½-108o2½-108o2½-103o2½-108o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½+107u2½-113u2½-112u2½-112u2½-112u2½-112u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½+115u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o2¾-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%
 
No45.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.82%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 414.78%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.31%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.94%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 028.71%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 023.74%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.84%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 056.12%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 051.39%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals13.91%
Wins by 3+ goals4.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals19.78%
Wins by 3+ goals7.45%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Dortmund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal18.79%
Wins by 2 goals9.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.66%
Wins by 2 goals12.33%
Wins by 3 goals5.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.18%6.82%
1.574.87%25.13%
2.550.29%49.71%
3.528.28%71.72%
4.513.50%86.50%
5.55.56%94.44%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.29%28.71%
1.535.46%64.54%
2.513.10%86.90%
3.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.26%23.74%
1.542.12%57.88%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.16%28.84%
1.535.30%64.70%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Dortmund
Score012345
0
6.82%
9.80%
7.05%
3.38%
1.21%
0.35%
1
8.51%
12.23%
8.79%
4.22%
1.52%
0.44%
2
5.31%
7.63%
5.49%
2.63%
0.95%
0.27%
3
2.21%
3.17%
2.28%
1.09%
0.39%
0.11%
4
0.69%
0.99%
0.71%
0.34%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.17%
0.25%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-08.51%
2-05.31%
2-17.63%
3-02.21%
3-13.17%
3-22.28%
4-00.69%
4-10.99%
4-20.71%
4-30.34%
5-00.17%
5-10.25%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.82%
1-112.23%
2-25.49%
3-31.09%
4-40.12%
Dortmund
0-19.80%
0-27.05%
1-28.79%
0-33.38%
1-34.22%
2-32.63%
0-41.21%
1-41.52%
2-40.95%
3-40.39%
0-50.35%
1-50.44%
2-50.27%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Dortmund
Score01234
0
28.84%
19.20%
6.39%
1.42%
0.24%
1
16.66%
11.09%
3.69%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.81%
3.20%
1.07%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.93%
0.62%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-016.66%
2-04.81%
2-13.20%
3-00.93%
3-10.62%
3-20.21%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-028.84%
1-111.09%
2-21.07%
Dortmund
0-119.20%
0-26.39%
1-23.69%
0-31.42%
1-30.82%
2-30.24%
0-40.24%
1-40.14%