Benfica at Real Madrid

Updated

Benfica

12.5%18.3%69.1%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.23
1Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+215
W 2-4 vs Real Madrid+335
L 0-2 at Juventus+427
W 0-2 vs Napoli+178
W 2-0 at Ajax+100
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Benfica+126
L 2-4 at Benfica-139
W 1-6 vs Monaco-350
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+240
W 4-3 at Olympiacos-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+525+340+325+351+340+340+340+357.9
Real Madrid-222-123-126-129-129-129-123-118.0
Draw+385+280+280+300+300+300+300+316.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+460-+322+350+350+320+350+357.9
Real Madrid-240--129-130-170-125-125-118.0
Draw+375-+310+275+310+290+310+316.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +351 to +340
Real Madrid ML moved from -149 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +350 to +320
Real Madrid ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-110o2¾-105
Underu3¼-118u2¾-101u2¾-110u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-101u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3+120o3+120o3+110o3+100o2½-135o2½-135o2¾-105
Underu3+120u3-140u3-140u3-130u3-130u2½+115u3-130u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+120 to u3-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.69%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 417.13%
Exactly 65.35%
Exactly 80.89%
 
Exactly 114.34%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.49%
Exactly 72.34%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 043.57%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.04%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.75%
Exactly 123.98%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 319.87%
Exactly 411.08%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.24%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 311.50%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 068.07%
Exactly 126.18%
Exactly 25.04%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 035.61%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals3.71%
Wins by 3+ goals0.84%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.47%
Wins by 3+ goals24.74%
Wins by 4+ goals11.25%
Wins by 5+ goals4.33%
Wins by 6+ goals1.42%
Wins by 7+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal8.80%
Wins by 2 goals2.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals20.73%
Wins by 3 goals13.49%
Wins by 4 goals6.92%
Wins by 5 goals2.91%
Wins by 6 goals1.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.31%4.69%
1.580.97%19.03%
2.559.03%40.97%
3.536.64%63.36%
4.519.50%80.50%
5.59.02%90.98%
6.53.67%96.33%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.43%43.57%
1.520.23%79.77%
2.55.20%94.80%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.25%10.75%
1.565.26%34.74%
2.538.53%61.47%
3.518.65%81.35%
4.57.58%92.42%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.76%24.24%
1.541.41%58.59%
2.517.06%82.94%
3.55.57%94.43%
4.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.69%
10.45%
11.65%
8.66%
4.83%
2.15%
1
3.89%
8.68%
9.68%
7.19%
4.01%
1.79%
2
1.62%
3.61%
4.02%
2.99%
1.67%
0.74%
3
0.45%
1.00%
1.11%
0.83%
0.46%
0.21%
Benfica
1-03.89%
2-01.62%
2-13.61%
3-00.45%
3-11.00%
3-21.11%
Draw
0-04.69%
1-18.68%
2-24.02%
3-30.83%
Real Madrid
0-110.45%
0-211.65%
1-29.68%
0-38.66%
1-37.19%
2-32.99%
0-44.83%
1-44.01%
2-41.67%
3-40.46%
0-52.15%
1-51.79%
2-50.74%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
24.24%
25.03%
12.92%
4.45%
1.15%
0.24%
1
9.33%
9.63%
4.97%
1.71%
0.44%
0.09%
2
1.79%
1.85%
0.96%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.23%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-09.33%
2-01.79%
2-11.85%
3-00.23%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.24%
1-19.63%
2-20.96%
Real Madrid
0-125.03%
0-212.92%
1-24.97%
0-34.45%
1-31.71%
2-30.33%
0-41.15%
1-40.44%
0-50.24%