Cartagena at Alcorcón

Updated

Cartagena

35.4%29.5%35.1%
Cartagena WinDrawAlcorcón Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.07
5Final Score 4

Alcorcon

Last Games

Cartagena
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Villarreal+475
W 4-2 at Alcorcon+140
L 2-1 vs Valencia+375
W 2-1 at Castellon
Alcorcon
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Cartagena+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cartagena+269+273+255+210+254+210+282+250.7
Alcorcón+111+120+120+108+110+108+120+135.3
Draw+239+216+205+205+211+205+216+245.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cartagena-----+250.7
Alcorcón-----+135.3
Draw-----+245.0

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cartagena: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alcorcón: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cartagena: 30.0%
Alcorcón: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cartagena: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cartagena: 40.0%
Alcorcón: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cartagena ML moved from +185 to +177
Alcorcón ML moved from +114 to +108

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2-124o2-118o2-112o2-124o2-112o2-112o2-102
Underu2½-142u2+104u2-102u2-108u2-104u2-108u2+104u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.66%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 410.36%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.05%
Exactly 319.29%
Exactly 54.45%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Cartagena
Exactly 034.04%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Alcorcon
Exactly 034.24%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.97%
Exactly 218.30%
Exactly 41.51%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.07%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cartagena
Exactly 060.72%
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alcorcon
Exactly 060.89%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cartagena
Wins by 2+ goals13.94%
Wins by 3+ goals4.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Alcorcon
Wins by 2+ goals13.76%
Wins by 3+ goals4.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Cartagena
Alcorcon
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cartagena
Wins by 1 goal21.35%
Wins by 2 goals9.78%
Wins by 3 goals3.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Alcorcon
Wins by 1 goal21.24%
Wins by 2 goals9.67%
Wins by 3 goals3.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.34%11.66%
1.563.29%36.71%
2.536.36%63.64%
3.517.08%82.92%
4.56.71%93.29%
5.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Cartagena Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.96%34.04%
1.529.27%70.73%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Alcorcon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.76%34.24%
1.529.06%70.94%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.03%36.97%
1.526.24%73.76%
2.57.94%92.06%
3.51.87%98.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cartagena
Alcorcon
Score012345
0
11.66%
12.49%
6.69%
2.39%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.56%
13.46%
7.21%
2.58%
0.69%
0.15%
2
6.77%
7.25%
3.89%
1.39%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.43%
2.61%
1.40%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.65%
0.70%
0.38%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cartagena
1-012.56%
2-06.77%
2-17.25%
3-02.43%
3-12.61%
3-21.40%
4-00.65%
4-10.70%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.14%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.66%
1-113.46%
2-23.89%
3-30.50%
Alcorcon
0-112.49%
0-26.69%
1-27.21%
0-32.39%
1-32.58%
2-31.39%
0-40.64%
1-40.69%
2-40.37%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Cartagena
Alcorcon
Score0123
0
36.97%
18.34%
4.55%
0.75%
1
18.44%
9.15%
2.27%
0.38%
2
4.60%
2.28%
0.57%
0.09%
3
0.77%
0.38%
0.09%
0.02%
Cartagena
1-018.44%
2-04.60%
2-12.28%
3-00.77%
3-10.38%
Draw
0-036.97%
1-19.15%
2-20.57%
Alcorcon
0-118.34%
0-24.55%
1-22.27%
0-30.75%
1-30.38%
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