Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colo-Colo
River Plate 		8.0%
76.6%		15.4%
+625
-205

0.64
2.42		3.06
o2¼-115
u2¼-115

Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Penarol
Flamengo		7.9%
77.1%		15.0%
+848
-240
+600
-240
1
0		-2.29740-2.05831-2.54389
Sao Paulo
Botafogo RJ		23.9%
48.3%		27.8%
+462
-130
+355
-155
0
0		-1.27083-1.32772-1.27974
Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense		24.7%
48.4%		26.9%
+273
+141
+205
+125
0
1		-0.91061-0.93267-0.72656
River Plate
Colo-Colo		52.8%
22.0%		25.2%
+153
+230
+135
+200
1
1		-1.14094-1.11477-1.37785
Flamengo
Bolivar		63.2%
15.0%		21.8%
+280
+103
+280
-130
0
1		-0.74868-0.68999-1.89725
Nacional
Sao Paulo		11.1%
70.3%		18.7%
+570
-157
+485
-180
0
2		-0.53006-0.56077-0.35292
CC Cordoba
River Plate		5.4%
82.4%		12.2%

+500
-215
1
2		-0.50149-0.19318
Botafogo RJ
Palmeiras		15.1%
62.4%		22.5%
+420
-131
+340
-145
2
2		-1.35732-1.29806-1.49250
Penarol
The Strongest		21.7%
49.1%		29.2%
+335
-124
+560
-310
0
1		-0.63045-0.40166-0.71178
San Lorenzo
Atletico Mineiro		17.3%
59.9%		22.8%
+800
-188
+550
-210
0
1		-0.44031-0.50760-0.51306
Colo-Colo
Junior		25.3%
47.5%		27.2%
+302
+122
+275
-110
2
1		-1.41902-1.44350-1.37417
Gremio
Fluminense		15.7%
62.2%		22.2%
+350
-103
+255
+100
2
4		-0.68971-0.81229-0.47551
Bolivar
Flamengo		5.4%
82.0%		12.6%
+1450
-625

0
2		-0.19171-0.19906
Sao Paulo
Nacional		43.8%
28.2%		28.0%
+190
+190
+160
+165
0
0		-1.08240-1.12995-1.27207
Palmeiras
Botafogo RJ		34.9%
34.6%		30.5%
+255
+135
+190
+130
1
2		-0.88581-0.95021-1.06204
River Plate
CC Cordoba		63.6%
15.0%		21.4%

+125
+190
1
0		-0.93161-0.45254
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.29740 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.05831 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.54389
-0.24649
-0.48558

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.