Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

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Games for Apr 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millonarios
Palestino		34.4%
37.2%		28.3%
+165
+192
+145
+160
1
3		-1.11410-1.07426-0.98773
Sao Paulo
Barcelona SC		41.7%
29.5%		28.8%
+147
+222
+110
+210
2
0		-0.93270-0.86119-0.87472
Fluminense
Cerro Porteno		34.4%
35.7%		29.9%
+165
+190
+125
+185
0
0		-1.20377-1.21963-1.20875
CC Cordoba
Cobresal		30.9%
40.9%		28.2%
-120
+321
-125
+265
2
0		-0.66440-0.70826-1.17461
Flamengo
Bolivar		63.2%
15.0%		21.8%
+265
+106
+260
-125
1
2		-0.76297-0.70775-1.89725
Palmeiras
Independiente		49.8%
24.7%		25.5%
+205
+177
+200
+120
3
2		-1.13709-1.21807-0.69691
River Plate
Libertad		34.4%
37.3%		28.3%
+101
+302
+100
+215
2
1		-0.72190-0.81534-1.06749
Deportivo Tachira
Nacional		13.5%
68.4%		18.1%
+935
-281
+700
-365
1
2		-0.32913-0.36199-0.37939
LDU de Quito
Junior		34.5%
37.5%		28.0%
+269
+121
+255
-115
1
1		-1.20504-1.28457-1.27314
Alianza Lima
Colo-Colo		16.4%
60.7%		22.9%
+439
-120
+450
-205
0
0		-1.28363-1.41511-1.47495
Penarol
Atletico Mineiro		6.9%
78.3%		14.7%
+735
-189
+675
-315
2
3		-0.43095-0.39707-0.24407
San Lorenzo
Liverpool		41.3%
31.7%		27.0%
+127
+238
+115
+215
0
1		-1.27615-1.26734-1.14961
Rosario Cent
Caracas		45.6%
26.8%		27.6%
-125
+423
-130
+330
1
1		-1.29499-1.23350-1.28649
Gremio
Estudiantes		27.9%
44.3%		27.7%
+420
-124
+260
-110
1
0		-1.67052-1.39796-1.27640
Nacional
River Plate		7.1%
78.7%		14.2%
+800
-242
+700
-335
0
2		-0.36639-0.38138-0.24014
Liverpool
Palmeiras		5.5%
82.9%		11.5%
+1957
-836

1
3		-0.17123-0.18708
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.97874 
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.96584 
DRatings42-1-1 (0.625)0-1.06145
-0.08271
-0.09562

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.