Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

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Games for Apr 25, 2024
Games for Apr 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Millonarios
Bolivar		33.4%
35.5%		31.1%
+360
-125
+450
-230
2
3		-0.61482-0.48216-1.03688
CC Cordoba
Barcelona SC		19.8%
55.5%		24.7%
+160
+175
+175
+135
2
2		-1.22431-1.20237-1.39804
Cobresal
Sao Paulo		10.7%
70.9%		18.3%
+1840
-725

0
2		-0.17477-0.34359
Palestino
Flamengo		5.8%
82.8%		11.5%
+2100
-878

0
2		-0.16339-0.18933
Caracas
Penarol		16.1%
60.0%		23.9%
+1107
-324
+800
-380
0
5		-0.29424-0.35139-0.51021
Alianza Lima
Cerro Porteno		10.4%
71.1%		18.5%
+375
-112
+370
-155
0
1		-0.64358-0.61441-0.34131
San Lorenzo
Independiente		29.3%
43.4%		27.2%
+575
-180
+380
-155
0
2		-0.48023-0.61461-0.83434
Rosario Cent
Atletico Mineiro		10.7%
71.8%		17.5%
+675
-200
+500
-250
1
2		-0.44091-0.45413-0.33142
Universitario
Junior		16.6%
61.6%		21.8%
+385
-128
+355
-170
1
1		-1.31505-1.40064-1.52381
Colo-Colo
Fluminense		11.3%
69.6%		19.1%
+585
-150
+490
-220
1
2		-0.52696-0.49448-0.36307
Deportivo Tachira
Libertad		5.7%
83.6%		10.7%
+825
-253
+725
-370
0
3		-0.36363-0.35988-0.17943
The Strongest
Estudiantes		10.0%
69.7%		20.3%
+1200
-382

1
2		-0.25149-0.36077
Independiente
Liverpool		35.5%
37.5%		27.0%
-113
+330
-105
+250
1
1		-1.26012-1.23361-1.30893
Sao Paulo
CC Cordoba		48.2%
24.6%		27.2%
+227
+135
+170
+145
1
2		-0.91709-1.01780-1.40039
Bolivar
Palestino		23.9%
49.4%		26.6%
+362
-119
+310
-155
4
0		-1.54975-1.53280-1.42954
Penarol
Rosario Cent		16.3%
61.3%		22.4%
+318
+110
+275
-110
0
1		-0.76947-0.76837-0.48959
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.97874 
Sportsbooks42-1-1 (0.625)0-0.96584 
DRatings42-1-1 (0.625)0-1.06145
-0.08271
-0.09562

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.