Olimpia at Penarol

Updated

Olimpia

27.7%24.8%47.6%
Olimpia WinDrawPenarol Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 2

Penarol

Last Games

Olimpia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cerro Porteno
W 1-4 vs Fluminense
L 1-3 at Fluminense
T 1-1 at Nacional+490
W 1-3 vs Nacional+140
Penarol
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+288+240+240+251+223+240+251+258.8
Penarol+100+130+130+136+130+130+136+141.6
Draw+234+195+210+208+212+210+212+225.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia-----+258.8
Penarol-----+141.6
Draw-----+225.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Olimpia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 0.0%
Penarol: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Olimpia: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+103o2-115o2¼+115o2-112-o2¼+115o2-112o2-104
Underu2¼-123u2-105u2¼-135u2-103-u2¼-135u2¼-135u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 415.35%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.39%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Olimpia
Exactly 031.25%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.14%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 020.12%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 313.83%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.78%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Olimpia
Exactly 058.36%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 28.46%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 047.59%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 213.12%
Exactly 33.25%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Olimpia
Wins by 2+ goals11.02%
Wins by 3+ goals3.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals24.65%
Wins by 3+ goals10.21%
Wins by 4+ goals3.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Olimpia
Penarol
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Olimpia
Wins by 1 goal16.61%
Wins by 2 goals7.59%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal22.91%
Wins by 2 goals14.44%
Wins by 3 goals6.75%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.32%23.68%
2.552.26%47.74%
3.530.07%69.93%
4.514.72%85.28%
5.56.22%93.78%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Olimpia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.75%31.25%
1.532.40%67.60%
2.511.26%88.74%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.88%20.12%
1.547.62%52.38%
2.521.76%78.24%
3.57.93%92.07%
4.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.22%27.78%
1.536.64%63.36%
2.513.85%86.15%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Olimpia
Penarol
Score012345
0
6.29%
10.08%
8.08%
4.32%
1.73%
0.56%
1
7.31%
11.73%
9.40%
5.03%
2.01%
0.65%
2
4.25%
6.82%
5.47%
2.92%
1.17%
0.38%
3
1.65%
2.64%
2.12%
1.13%
0.45%
0.15%
4
0.48%
0.77%
0.62%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Olimpia
1-07.31%
2-04.25%
2-16.82%
3-01.65%
3-12.64%
3-22.12%
4-00.48%
4-10.77%
4-20.62%
4-30.33%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-111.73%
2-25.47%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Penarol
0-110.08%
0-28.08%
1-29.40%
0-34.32%
1-35.03%
2-32.92%
0-41.73%
1-42.01%
2-41.17%
3-40.45%
0-50.56%
1-50.65%
2-50.38%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Olimpia
Penarol
Score01234
0
27.78%
20.62%
7.66%
1.89%
0.35%
1
14.96%
11.11%
4.12%
1.02%
0.19%
2
4.03%
2.99%
1.11%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.72%
0.54%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Olimpia
1-014.96%
2-04.03%
2-12.99%
3-00.72%
3-10.54%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-027.78%
1-111.11%
2-21.11%
Penarol
0-120.62%
0-27.66%
1-24.12%
0-31.89%
1-31.02%
2-30.27%
0-40.35%
1-40.19%
Sporting Cristal at Univ Catolica
Indep Petroleros at Palmeiras