Boca Juniors at Nacional

Updated

Boca Juniors

33.5%30.8%35.7%
Boca Juniors WinDrawNacional Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.02
0Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Monagas-330
W 0-1 vs Colo-Colo-150
L 0-1 at Pereira+115
W 2-0 at Colo-Colo+230
W 1-2 vs Pereira-265
Nacional
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Metropolitanos-850
T 1-1 vs Internacional+180
L 1-2 at Independiente+315
T 2-2 at Internacional+625
W 1-2 vs Independiente-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+177+167+160+165+149+165+167+178.3
Nacional+183+202+200+205+224+205+224+220.3
Draw+208+199+185+190+201+190+201+204.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+175---+135+160+160+178.3
Nacional+190---+195+200+200+220.3
Draw+190---+175+200+200+204.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121o2-106o2+100o2+102o2-101o2+102o2+102o2+111
Underu2+103u2-112u2-130u2-122u2-115u2-122u2-112u2-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125---o2-115-o2-115o2+111
Underu2-105---u2-115-u2-115u2-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.45%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.08%
Exactly 61.22%
 
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 318.10%
Exactly 53.64%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 037.48%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.05%
Exactly 35.90%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.50%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 41.23%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 063.48%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 26.55%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 062.22%
Exactly 129.52%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals12.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals13.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal21.05%
Wins by 2 goals8.94%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal21.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.55%13.45%
1.559.57%40.43%
2.532.50%67.50%
3.514.40%85.60%
4.55.32%94.68%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.52%37.48%
1.525.74%74.26%
2.57.69%92.31%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.50%39.50%
1.523.81%76.19%
2.56.77%93.23%
3.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Nacional
Score01234
0
13.45%
13.78%
7.06%
2.41%
0.62%
1
13.20%
13.53%
6.93%
2.37%
0.61%
2
6.48%
6.64%
3.40%
1.16%
0.30%
3
2.12%
2.17%
1.11%
0.38%
0.10%
4
0.52%
0.53%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Boca Juniors
1-013.20%
2-06.48%
2-16.64%
3-02.12%
3-12.17%
3-21.11%
4-00.52%
4-10.53%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-013.45%
1-113.53%
2-23.40%
3-30.38%
Nacional
0-113.78%
0-27.06%
1-26.93%
0-32.41%
1-32.37%
2-31.16%
0-40.62%
1-40.61%
2-40.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Nacional
Score0123
0
39.50%
18.74%
4.45%
0.70%
1
17.95%
8.52%
2.02%
0.32%
2
4.08%
1.93%
0.46%
0.07%
3
0.62%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-017.95%
2-04.08%
2-11.93%
3-00.62%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-039.50%
1-18.52%
2-20.46%
Nacional
0-118.74%
0-24.45%
1-22.02%
0-30.70%
1-30.32%