Nacional at Nacional

Updated

Nacional

40.8%25.7%33.6%
Nacional WinDrawNacional Win
1.47Projected Goals 1.21
4Final Score 4

Nacional

Last Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Univ Catolica-130
W 1-4 vs Libertad-130
L 0-1 at Libertad+245
W 0-3 vs Guarani-160
W 2-0 at Guarani+190
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Argentinos Jun+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+169+155+155+150+141+150+155-
Nacional+159+177+170+176+183+176+183-
Draw+219+229+215+225+244+225+244-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+165----+165+165-
Nacional+165----+170+170-
Draw+230----+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+101o2½-108o2½-105o2½-109-o2½-109o2½-105-
Underu2¼-135u2½-114u2½-115u2½-111-u2½-111u2½-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.86%
Exactly 224.63%
Exactly 414.73%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.38%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.90%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 029.83%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.92%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 39.20%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 057.12%
Exactly 131.99%
Exactly 28.96%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals20.95%
Wins by 3+ goals8.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals12.92%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals12.90%
Wins by 3 goals5.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal18.21%
Wins by 2 goals8.74%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.14%6.86%
1.574.76%25.24%
2.550.13%49.87%
3.528.14%71.86%
4.513.40%86.60%
5.55.51%94.49%
6.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.21%56.79%
2.518.36%81.64%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.17%29.83%
1.534.08%65.92%
2.512.26%87.74%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.08%28.92%
1.535.20%64.80%
2.512.94%87.06%
3.53.74%96.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Nacional
Score012345
0
6.86%
8.30%
5.02%
2.02%
0.61%
0.15%
1
10.08%
12.20%
7.38%
2.97%
0.90%
0.22%
2
7.41%
8.96%
5.42%
2.19%
0.66%
0.16%
3
3.63%
4.39%
2.66%
1.07%
0.32%
0.08%
4
1.33%
1.61%
0.98%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.39%
0.47%
0.29%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-010.08%
2-07.41%
2-18.96%
3-03.63%
3-14.39%
3-22.66%
4-01.33%
4-11.61%
4-20.98%
4-30.39%
5-00.39%
5-10.47%
5-20.29%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.86%
1-112.20%
2-25.42%
3-31.07%
4-40.12%
Nacional
0-18.30%
0-25.02%
1-27.38%
0-32.02%
1-32.97%
2-32.19%
0-40.61%
1-40.90%
2-40.66%
3-40.32%
0-50.15%
1-50.22%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Nacional
Score01234
0
28.92%
16.20%
4.53%
0.85%
0.12%
1
19.68%
11.02%
3.09%
0.58%
0.08%
2
6.70%
3.75%
1.05%
0.20%
0.03%
3
1.52%
0.85%
0.24%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.26%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-019.68%
2-06.70%
2-13.75%
3-01.52%
3-10.85%
3-20.24%
4-00.26%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-028.92%
1-111.02%
2-21.05%
Nacional
0-116.20%
0-24.53%
1-23.09%
0-30.85%
1-30.58%
2-30.20%
0-40.12%