Nacional at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Nacional

8.8%17.4%73.8%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.18
2Final Score 1

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun-125
W 0-1 vs Univ Catolica+155
T 0-0 at Nacional+400
L 1-3 at Univ Catolica+250
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bragantino
L 1-4 at Estudiantes
L 1-3 at Barcelona SC+325
W 0-1 vs Barcelona SC+115
T 0-0 at Flamengo+520

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+500+340+355+369+324+355+369+378.7
Velez Sarsf-150-120-115-111-118-115-111-103.5
Draw+245+240+240+239+253+240+253+254.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional-----+378.7
Velez Sarsf------103.5
Draw-----+254.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-108o2-148-o2¼-108o2-148o2¼+100
Underu2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-112u2+133-u2¼-112u2¼-110u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.18%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 415.46%
Exactly 63.99%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.21%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.61%
Exactly 71.59%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 054.76%
Exactly 132.98%
Exactly 29.93%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 011.29%
Exactly 124.62%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.53%
Exactly 410.65%
Exactly 54.65%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.56%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 075.67%
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 22.94%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 036.42%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.58%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals2.02%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals49.23%
Wins by 3+ goals26.93%
Wins by 4+ goals12.23%
Wins by 5+ goals4.68%
Wins by 6+ goals1.53%
Wins by 7+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Velez Sarsf
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal6.76%
Wins by 2 goals1.69%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals22.30%
Wins by 3 goals14.70%
Wins by 4 goals7.54%
Wins by 5 goals3.16%
Wins by 6 goals1.11%
Wins by 7 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.82%6.18%
1.576.61%23.39%
2.552.66%47.34%
3.530.44%69.56%
4.514.98%85.02%
5.56.37%93.63%
6.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.24%54.76%
1.512.26%87.74%
2.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.71%11.29%
1.564.09%35.91%
2.537.23%62.77%
3.517.70%82.30%
4.57.05%92.95%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.44%27.56%
1.536.92%63.08%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
6.18%
13.48%
14.71%
10.69%
5.83%
2.54%
1
3.72%
8.12%
8.86%
6.44%
3.51%
1.53%
2
1.12%
2.44%
2.67%
1.94%
1.06%
0.46%
3
0.22%
0.49%
0.54%
0.39%
0.21%
0.09%
Nacional
1-03.72%
2-01.12%
2-12.44%
3-00.22%
3-10.49%
3-20.54%
Draw
0-06.18%
1-18.12%
2-22.67%
3-30.39%
Velez Sarsf
0-113.48%
0-214.71%
1-28.86%
0-310.69%
1-36.44%
2-31.94%
0-45.83%
1-43.51%
2-41.06%
3-40.21%
0-52.54%
1-51.53%
2-50.46%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
27.56%
27.84%
14.06%
4.73%
1.19%
0.24%
1
7.68%
7.76%
3.92%
1.32%
0.33%
0.07%
2
1.07%
1.08%
0.55%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Nacional
1-07.68%
2-01.07%
2-11.08%
Draw
0-027.56%
1-17.76%
2-20.55%
Velez Sarsf
0-127.84%
0-214.06%
1-23.92%
0-34.73%
1-31.32%
2-30.18%
0-41.19%
1-40.33%
0-50.24%