Palmeiras at Cerro Porteno

Updated

Palmeiras

41.3%28.2%30.5%
Palmeiras WinDrawCerro Porteno Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 0

Cerro Porteno

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 2-0 at Barcelona SC-110
W 1-2 vs Cerro Porteno-290
L 1-3 at Bolivar+260
T 2-2 vs Athletico Paranaense-275
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense+130
Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Bolivar-315
L 1-2 at Palmeiras+850
W 1-2 vs Barcelona SC-140
W 1-2 vs Fortaleza+160
W 1-0 at Fortaleza+515

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-128-136-145-145-137-145-136-129.1
Cerro Porteno+364+382+370+395+395+395+395+419.9
Draw+280+291+285+290+294+290+294+309.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-120----180-145-145-129.1
Cerro Porteno+335---+375+410+410+419.9
Draw+265---+265+280+280+309.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-125o2¾-105o2½-118o2½-115o2½-118o2½-115o2½-107
Underu2½-106u2½+105u2¾-125u2½-102u2½-105u2½-102u2¾-125u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.04%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 411.68%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.07%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 055.82%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 061.79%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals18.37%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals11.51%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.05%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.96%10.04%
1.566.89%33.11%
2.540.37%59.63%
3.520.05%79.95%
4.58.36%91.64%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.79%71.21%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score012345
0
10.04%
10.44%
5.43%
1.88%
0.49%
0.10%
1
12.64%
13.14%
6.83%
2.37%
0.62%
0.13%
2
7.96%
8.27%
4.30%
1.49%
0.39%
0.08%
3
3.34%
3.47%
1.81%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
4
1.05%
1.09%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.28%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-012.64%
2-07.96%
2-18.27%
3-03.34%
3-13.47%
3-21.81%
4-01.05%
4-11.09%
4-20.57%
4-30.20%
5-00.26%
5-10.28%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.04%
1-113.14%
2-24.30%
3-30.63%
Cerro Porteno
0-110.44%
0-25.43%
1-26.83%
0-31.88%
1-32.37%
2-31.49%
0-40.49%
1-40.62%
2-40.39%
3-40.16%
0-50.10%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
Score0123
0
34.49%
16.61%
4.00%
0.64%
1
20.11%
9.68%
2.33%
0.37%
2
5.86%
2.82%
0.68%
0.11%
3
1.14%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-020.11%
2-05.86%
2-12.82%
3-01.14%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-034.49%
1-19.68%
2-20.68%
Cerro Porteno
0-116.61%
0-24.00%
1-22.33%
0-30.64%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%