LDU de Quito at Palmeiras

Updated

LDU de Quito

11.3%17.2%71.4%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 4

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

LDU de Quito
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Palmeiras+245
W 1-0 at Sao Paulo+730
W 0-2 vs Sao Paulo-120
W 0-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Botafogo RJ
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 0-3 at LDU de Quito+110
W 1-3 vs River Plate-145
W 2-1 at River Plate+250
T 0-0 vs Universitario
W 4-0 at Universitario

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
LDU de Quito+1400-+1100+1300+1300+1300+1300+1371.7
Palmeiras-480--460-500-490-490-460-376.3
Draw+525-+575+580+570+570+575+604.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
LDU de Quito-----+1371.7
Palmeiras------376.3
Draw-----+604.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
LDU de Quito: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

LDU de Quito: 30.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

LDU de Quito: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On LDU de Quito ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-132-o3½+110o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+109
Underu2¾+112-u3½-145u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-120u3½-145u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.31%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 417.55%
Exactly 65.78%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.55%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.04%
Exactly 72.60%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - LDU de Quito
Exactly 044.40%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.63%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 09.70%
Exactly 122.64%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 320.53%
Exactly 411.97%
Exactly 55.58%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.32%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 44.37%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - LDU de Quito
Exactly 068.67%
Exactly 125.81%
Exactly 24.85%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 033.96%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

LDU de Quito
Wins by 2+ goals3.28%
Wins by 3+ goals0.72%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals48.25%
Wins by 3+ goals27.14%
Wins by 4+ goals12.80%
Wins by 5+ goals5.12%
Wins by 6+ goals1.75%
Wins by 7+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

LDU de Quito
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
LDU de Quito
Wins by 1 goal8.04%
Wins by 2 goals2.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals21.11%
Wins by 3 goals14.34%
Wins by 4 goals7.68%
Wins by 5 goals3.38%
Wins by 6 goals1.26%
Wins by 7 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.69%4.31%
1.582.14%17.86%
2.560.84%39.16%
3.538.51%61.49%
4.520.96%79.04%
5.59.92%90.08%
6.54.13%95.87%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals LDU de Quito Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.60%44.40%
1.519.55%80.45%
2.54.91%95.09%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.30%9.70%
1.567.66%32.34%
2.541.26%58.74%
3.520.73%79.27%
4.58.76%91.24%
5.53.18%96.82%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.68%23.32%
1.542.73%57.27%
2.518.02%81.98%
3.56.02%93.98%
4.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

LDU de Quito
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
4.31%
10.05%
11.72%
9.12%
5.32%
2.48%
1
3.50%
8.16%
9.52%
7.40%
4.32%
2.01%
2
1.42%
3.31%
3.86%
3.00%
1.75%
0.82%
3
0.38%
0.90%
1.05%
0.81%
0.47%
0.22%
LDU de Quito
1-03.50%
2-01.42%
2-13.31%
3-00.38%
3-10.90%
3-21.05%
Draw
0-04.31%
1-18.16%
2-23.86%
3-30.81%
Palmeiras
0-110.05%
0-211.72%
1-29.52%
0-39.12%
1-37.40%
2-33.00%
0-45.32%
1-44.32%
2-41.75%
3-40.47%
0-52.48%
1-52.01%
2-50.82%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

LDU de Quito
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
23.32%
25.19%
13.60%
4.90%
1.32%
0.29%
1
8.77%
9.47%
5.11%
1.84%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.65%
1.78%
0.96%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.22%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
LDU de Quito
1-08.77%
2-01.65%
2-11.78%
3-00.21%
3-10.22%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.32%
1-19.47%
2-20.96%
Palmeiras
0-125.19%
0-213.60%
1-25.11%
0-34.90%
1-31.84%
2-30.35%
0-41.32%
1-40.50%
0-50.29%
1-50.11%