Olimpia at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Olimpia

21.9%24.7%53.4%
Olimpia WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 1

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Olimpia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Penarol
L 4-0 vs Velez Sarsf
L 3-1 vs Fluminense+180
L 0-2 at Fluminense+800
W 1-3 vs Flamengo+320
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
L 1-2 at San Antonio Bulo Bulo
W 4-0 at Olimpia
W 1-2 vs Penarol
L 1-2 at Flamengo+875
L 4-0 vs Flamengo+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia+420-+440+455+471+455+471+482.7
Velez Sarsf-140--135-138-144-138-135-123.4
Draw+245-+235+245+239+245+245+262.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Olimpia-----+482.7
Velez Sarsf------123.4
Draw-----+262.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Olimpia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Olimpia: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Olimpia: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Olimpia ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2-118o2-113o2-112o2-113o2-112o2-103
Underu2¼-120-u2-112u2-107u2-108u2-107u2-107u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 413.99%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.54%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.22%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Olimpia
Exactly 038.71%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.43%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 019.56%
Exactly 131.92%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 314.16%
Exactly 45.78%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.28%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Olimpia
Exactly 064.44%
Exactly 128.32%
Exactly 26.22%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 046.98%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.41%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Olimpia
Wins by 2+ goals7.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals28.62%
Wins by 3+ goals12.22%
Wins by 4+ goals4.25%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Olimpia
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Olimpia
Wins by 1 goal14.39%
Wins by 2 goals5.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals16.40%
Wins by 3 goals7.96%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.89%27.11%
2.547.67%52.33%
3.525.98%74.02%
4.511.99%88.01%
5.54.76%95.24%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Olimpia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.29%38.71%
1.524.55%75.45%
2.57.12%92.88%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.44%19.56%
1.548.52%51.48%
2.522.48%77.52%
3.58.32%91.68%
4.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.72%30.28%
1.533.55%66.45%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Olimpia
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
7.57%
12.36%
10.08%
5.48%
2.24%
0.73%
1
7.19%
11.73%
9.57%
5.20%
2.12%
0.69%
2
3.41%
5.56%
4.54%
2.47%
1.01%
0.33%
3
1.08%
1.76%
1.44%
0.78%
0.32%
0.10%
4
0.26%
0.42%
0.34%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
Olimpia
1-07.19%
2-03.41%
2-15.56%
3-01.08%
3-11.76%
3-21.44%
4-00.26%
4-10.42%
4-20.34%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.57%
1-111.73%
2-24.54%
3-30.78%
Velez Sarsf
0-112.36%
0-210.08%
1-29.57%
0-35.48%
1-35.20%
2-32.47%
0-42.24%
1-42.12%
2-41.01%
3-40.32%
0-50.73%
1-50.69%
2-50.33%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Olimpia
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
30.28%
22.87%
8.64%
2.18%
0.41%
1
13.30%
10.05%
3.80%
0.96%
0.18%
2
2.92%
2.21%
0.83%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.43%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Olimpia
1-013.30%
2-02.92%
2-12.21%
3-00.43%
3-10.32%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.28%
1-110.05%
2-20.83%
Velez Sarsf
0-122.87%
0-28.64%
1-23.80%
0-32.18%
1-30.96%
2-30.21%
0-40.41%
1-40.18%