Sao Paulo at Alianza Lima

Updated

Sao Paulo

54.8%25.4%19.8%
Sao Paulo WinDrawWin
1.57Projected Goals 0.83
2Final Score 0

Alianza Lima

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-0 at Libertad
T 2-2 vs Alianza Lima
W 1-0 at CC Cordoba
L 5-4 vs Botafogo RJ+150
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ+355
Alianza Lima
Money Line
W 2-3 vs CC Cordoba
T 2-2 at Sao Paulo
L 1-0 vs Libertad
W 5-4 at Boca Juniors
W 0-1 vs Boca Juniors

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+146+133+130+125+127+125+133+136.0
Alianza Lima+232+268+255+285+269+285+285+303.9
Draw+200+195+180+190+187+190+195+204.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+136.0
Alianza Lima-----+303.9
Draw-----+204.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Alianza Lima: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Alianza Lima ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-113o2+116o1¾-128o1¾-125o1¾-119o1¾-125o2+116o1¾-114
Underu2-104u2-137u1¾-102u1¾+105u1¾-101u1¾+105u1¾+105u1¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-114
Under-----u1¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 020.82%
Exactly 132.67%
Exactly 225.64%
Exactly 313.41%
Exactly 45.26%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Alianza Lima
Exactly 043.57%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.04%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 048.36%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 212.76%
Exactly 33.09%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alianza Lima
Exactly 068.07%
Exactly 126.18%
Exactly 25.04%
Exactly 30.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals28.92%
Wins by 3+ goals12.03%
Wins by 4+ goals4.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 2+ goals6.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Alianza Lima
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.77%
Wins by 2 goals16.89%
Wins by 3 goals8.01%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Alianza Lima
Wins by 1 goal13.64%
Wins by 2 goals4.73%
Wins by 3 goals1.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.18%20.82%
1.546.51%53.49%
2.520.87%79.13%
3.57.46%92.54%
4.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Alianza Lima Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.43%43.57%
1.520.23%79.77%
2.55.19%94.81%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.08%32.92%
1.530.51%69.49%
2.510.18%89.82%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Alianza Lima
Score01234
0
9.07%
7.54%
3.13%
0.87%
0.18%
1
14.24%
11.83%
4.91%
1.36%
0.28%
2
11.17%
9.28%
3.85%
1.07%
0.22%
3
5.84%
4.85%
2.02%
0.56%
0.12%
4
2.29%
1.90%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.72%
0.60%
0.25%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-014.24%
2-011.17%
2-19.28%
3-05.84%
3-14.85%
3-22.02%
4-02.29%
4-11.90%
4-20.79%
4-30.22%
5-00.72%
5-10.60%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-09.07%
1-111.83%
2-23.85%
3-30.56%
Alianza Lima
0-17.54%
0-23.13%
1-24.91%
0-30.87%
1-31.36%
2-31.07%
0-40.18%
1-40.28%
2-40.22%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Alianza Lima
Score0123
0
32.92%
12.66%
2.44%
0.31%
1
23.92%
9.20%
1.77%
0.23%
2
8.69%
3.34%
0.64%
0.08%
3
2.10%
0.81%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.38%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-023.92%
2-08.69%
2-13.34%
3-02.10%
3-10.81%
3-20.16%
4-00.38%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-032.92%
1-19.20%
2-20.64%
Alianza Lima
0-112.66%
0-22.44%
1-21.77%
0-30.31%
1-30.23%