Caracas at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Caracas

8.9%17.3%73.8%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.20
1Final Score 5

Athletico Paranaense

Last Games

Caracas
Money Line
T 0-0 vs The Strongest
W 0-1 vs Libertad
T 1-1 at The Strongest
L 1-2 at Libertad
L 1-3 at Junior+825
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Libertad
L 0-5 at The Strongest
L 0-1 at Libertad
W 0-1 vs The Strongest

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Caracas+1347-+1400-+1099+1400+1400+1412.0
Athletico Paranaense-459--415--402-415-402-333.6
Draw+489-+465-+490+465+490+508.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Caracas-----+1412.0
Athletico Paranaense------333.6
Draw-----+508.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Caracas: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Caracas: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Caracas: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Caracas ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121-o2¾-115--o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu2½+101-u2¾-105--u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.96%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 415.71%
Exactly 64.17%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.80%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.86%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Caracas
Exactly 053.97%
Exactly 133.29%
Exactly 210.26%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 011.04%
Exactly 124.33%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 319.69%
Exactly 410.85%
Exactly 54.78%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.09%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.06%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Caracas
Exactly 075.16%
Exactly 121.46%
Exactly 23.06%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 036.05%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Caracas
Wins by 2+ goals2.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals49.45%
Wins by 3+ goals27.21%
Wins by 4+ goals12.44%
Wins by 5+ goals4.80%
Wins by 6+ goals1.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Caracas
Athletico Paranaense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Caracas
Wins by 1 goal6.80%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals22.24%
Wins by 3 goals14.77%
Wins by 4 goals7.64%
Wins by 5 goals3.23%
Wins by 6 goals1.15%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.04%5.96%
1.577.24%22.76%
2.553.54%46.46%
3.531.26%68.74%
4.515.55%84.45%
5.56.69%93.31%
6.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Caracas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.03%53.97%
1.512.74%87.26%
2.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.96%11.04%
1.564.64%35.36%
2.537.83%62.17%
3.518.14%81.86%
4.57.29%92.71%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.91%27.09%
1.537.53%62.47%
2.514.43%85.57%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Caracas
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
5.96%
13.13%
14.47%
10.63%
5.86%
2.58%
1
3.67%
8.10%
8.92%
6.55%
3.61%
1.59%
2
1.13%
2.50%
2.75%
2.02%
1.11%
0.49%
3
0.23%
0.51%
0.57%
0.42%
0.23%
0.10%
Caracas
1-03.67%
2-01.13%
2-12.50%
3-00.23%
3-10.51%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-05.96%
1-18.10%
2-22.75%
3-30.42%
Athletico Paranaense
0-113.13%
0-214.47%
1-28.92%
0-310.63%
1-36.55%
2-32.02%
0-45.86%
1-43.61%
2-41.11%
3-40.23%
0-52.58%
1-51.59%
2-50.49%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Caracas
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
27.09%
27.64%
14.10%
4.80%
1.22%
0.25%
1
7.74%
7.89%
4.03%
1.37%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.10%
1.13%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Caracas
1-07.74%
2-01.10%
2-11.13%
3-00.11%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-027.09%
1-17.89%
2-20.57%
Athletico Paranaense
0-127.64%
0-214.10%
1-24.03%
0-34.80%
1-31.37%
2-30.20%
0-41.22%
1-40.35%
0-50.25%