Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo

Updated 542 days ago

08:00 PM • Oct 29, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

10.9%18.2%70.9%

WinDrawFlamengo Win

0.72Projected Goals 2.17

0Final Score 1

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 2-2	9/07 at Palmeiras	+825
W 0-1	8/31 vs Palmeiras	+240
W 1-0	8/12 at Estudiantes	+260
T 0-0	8/05 vs Estudiantes	-145
T 1-1	7/06 at Libertad	+285

Flamengo		Money Line
W 1-2	9/08 vs Velez Sarsf	-345
W 4-0	9/01 at Velez Sarsf	+125
W 0-1	8/10 vs Corinthians	-240
W 2-0	8/03 at Corinthians	+130
W 1-7	7/07 vs Tolima	-275

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%:4.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+620	-	-	+670	+590	+670	+670	-
Flamengo	-200	-	-	-205	-202	-205	-202	-
Draw	+310	-	-	+330	+307	+330	+330	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+550	-	-	-	-	+560	+560	-
Flamengo	-180	-	-	-	-	-190	-190	-
Draw	+290	-	-	-	-	+310	+310	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Flamengo: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Flamengo: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.5%:4.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-125	-	-	o2¼-115	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-115	-
Under	u2¼+105	-	-	u2¼-105	-	u2¼-105	u2¼-105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+115	-	-	-	-	o2½+110	o2½+110	-
Under	u2½-135	-	-	-	-	u2½-130	u2½-130	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.3%


No	54.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.55%
Exactly 2	23.21%
Exactly 4	16.16%
Exactly 6	4.50%
Exactly 8	0.67%


Exactly 1	16.06%
Exactly 3	22.36%
Exactly 5	9.34%
Exactly 7	1.86%
Exactly 9	0.22%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	48.86%
Exactly 1	35.00%
Exactly 2	12.53%
Exactly 3	2.99%
Exactly 4	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 0	11.37%
Exactly 1	24.72%
Exactly 2	26.87%
Exactly 3	19.48%
Exactly 4	10.59%
Exactly 5	4.60%
Exactly 6	1.67%
Exactly 7	0.52%
Exactly 8	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	26.23%
Exactly 2	23.49%
Exactly 4	3.51%
Exactly 6	0.21%


Exactly 1	35.10%
Exactly 3	10.48%
Exactly 5	0.94%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	71.77%
Exactly 1	23.80%
Exactly 2	3.95%
Exactly 3	0.44%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 0	36.54%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.52%
Exactly 3	6.21%
Exactly 4	1.56%
Exactly 5	0.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	2.84%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.53%

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals	46.56%
Wins by 3+ goals	25.15%
Wins by 4+ goals	11.30%
Wins by 5+ goals	4.29%
Wins by 6+ goals	1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	7.99%
Wins by 2 goals	2.31%
Wins by 3 goals	0.47%

Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal	24.26%
Wins by 2 goals	21.42%
Wins by 3 goals	13.85%
Wins by 4 goals	7.01%
Wins by 5 goals	2.90%
Wins by 6 goals	1.01%
Wins by 7 goals	0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.45%	5.55%
1.5	78.39%	21.61%
2.5	55.18%	44.82%
3.5	32.83%	67.17%
4.5	16.67%	83.33%
5.5	7.33%	92.67%
6.5	2.83%	97.17%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	51.14%	48.86%
1.5	16.15%	83.85%
2.5	3.62%	96.38%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.63%	11.37%
1.5	63.91%	36.09%
2.5	37.04%	62.96%
3.5	17.56%	82.44%
4.5	6.97%	93.03%
5.5	2.37%	97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.77%	26.23%
1.5	38.67%	61.33%
2.5	15.18%	84.82%
3.5	4.70%	95.30%
4.5	1.20%	98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.55%	12.08%	13.13%	9.52%	5.17%	2.25%
1	3.98%	8.65%	9.40%	6.82%	3.70%	1.61%
2	1.42%	3.10%	3.37%	2.44%	1.33%	0.58%
3	0.34%	0.74%	0.80%	0.58%	0.32%	0.14%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	3.98%
2-0	1.42%
2-1	3.10%
3-0	0.34%
3-1	0.74%
3-2	0.80%

Draw
0-0	5.55%
1-1	8.65%
2-2	3.37%
3-3	0.58%

Flamengo
0-1	12.08%
0-2	13.13%
1-2	9.40%
0-3	9.52%
1-3	6.82%
2-3	2.44%
0-4	5.17%
1-4	3.70%
2-4	1.33%
3-4	0.32%
0-5	2.25%
1-5	1.61%
2-5	0.58%
3-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	26.23%	26.40%	13.29%	4.46%	1.12%	0.23%
1	8.70%	8.76%	4.41%	1.48%	0.37%	0.07%
2	1.44%	1.45%	0.73%	0.25%	0.06%	0.01%
3	0.16%	0.16%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	8.70%
2-0	1.44%
2-1	1.45%
3-0	0.16%
3-1	0.16%

Draw
0-0	26.23%
1-1	8.76%
2-2	0.73%

Flamengo
0-1	26.40%
0-2	13.29%
1-2	4.41%
0-3	4.46%
1-3	1.48%
2-3	0.25%
0-4	1.12%
1-4	0.37%
0-5	0.23%

Velez Sarsf at Flamengo

Millonarios at Univ Catolica

Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo