Parma at Fiorentina

Updated

Parma

10.0%16.3%73.7%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.40
1Final Score 4

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Parma
Money Line
W 4-2 at Lecce+260
W 3-0 at Bari+180
L 1-2 at Inter+875
W 0-1 vs Bari-115
W 2-0 at Salernitana+170
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Inter+300
T 0-0 vs Cremonese-280
W 2-0 at Cremonese-170
W 1-2 vs Torino+110
W 0-1 vs Sampdoria-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+556+654+600+660+679+660+679+697.4
Fiorentina-197-228-260-227-232-232-228-199.4
Draw+346+370+350+347+366+357+370+379.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+500---+500+620+620+697.4
Fiorentina-255----255-225-225-199.4
Draw+315---+315+350+350+379.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +654 to +632
Fiorentina ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +575 to +550
Fiorentina ML moved from -205 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o3+105o2¾-122o3+102o3+103o3+102o2¾-122o3+111
Underu2½+116u3-125u2¾+102u3-122u3-119u3-122u3-119u3-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o2½-145o2½-145o2½-145o3+111
Underu2½+115---u2½+115u2½+125u2½+125u3-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.24%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 417.63%
Exactly 65.87%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.40%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.14%
Exactly 72.65%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 046.74%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.52%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 70.83%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.15%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 070.32%
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 24.36%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Parma
Wins by 2+ goals2.65%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals50.88%
Wins by 3+ goals29.32%
Wins by 4+ goals14.19%
Wins by 5+ goals5.83%
Wins by 6+ goals2.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.59%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Parma
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Parma
Wins by 1 goal7.20%
Wins by 2 goals2.14%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.56%
Wins by 3 goals15.13%
Wins by 4 goals8.36%
Wins by 5 goals3.79%
Wins by 6 goals1.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.76%4.24%
1.582.36%17.64%
2.561.18%38.82%
3.538.87%61.13%
4.521.24%78.76%
5.510.10%89.90%
6.54.23%95.77%
7.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.26%46.74%
1.517.71%82.29%
2.54.19%95.81%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.85%23.15%
1.542.98%57.02%
2.518.20%81.80%
3.56.11%93.89%
4.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Parma
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
4.24%
10.18%
12.21%
9.77%
5.86%
2.81%
1
3.22%
7.74%
9.29%
7.43%
4.46%
2.14%
2
1.23%
2.94%
3.53%
2.83%
1.70%
0.81%
3
0.31%
0.75%
0.90%
0.72%
0.43%
0.21%
Parma
1-03.22%
2-01.23%
2-12.94%
3-00.31%
3-10.75%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-04.24%
1-17.74%
2-23.53%
3-30.72%
Fiorentina
0-110.18%
0-212.21%
1-29.29%
0-39.77%
1-37.43%
2-32.83%
0-45.86%
1-44.46%
2-41.70%
3-40.43%
0-52.81%
1-52.14%
2-50.81%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Parma
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
23.15%
25.72%
14.29%
5.29%
1.47%
0.33%
1
8.15%
9.06%
5.03%
1.86%
0.52%
0.12%
2
1.44%
1.59%
0.89%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Parma
1-08.15%
2-01.44%
2-11.59%
3-00.17%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-023.15%
1-19.06%
2-20.89%
Fiorentina
0-125.72%
0-214.29%
1-25.03%
0-35.29%
1-31.86%
2-30.33%
0-41.47%
1-40.52%
0-50.33%
1-50.12%