Sampdoria at Fiorentina

Updated

Sampdoria

8.9%14.9%76.2%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.56
0Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Sampdoria
Money Line
W 8-9 vs Ascoli-175
W 0-1 vs US Reggina-270
L 1-4 at Juventus+850
W 1-2 vs Torino+170
W 2-3 vs Alessandria
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 0-2 at Juventus+300
L 1-0 vs Juventus+150
W 3-2 at Atalanta+295
W 5-2 at Napoli+240
W 1-2 vs Benevento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+555+661+600+725+689+725+725+712.3
Fiorentina-184-236-260-260-231-260-231-210.4
Draw+317+385+350+385+388+385+388+402.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sampdoria+580---+550+680+680+712.3
Fiorentina-200----255-250-250-210.4
Draw+320---+290+375+375+402.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +696 to +689
Fiorentina ML moved from -240 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sampdoria: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sampdoria ML moved from +600 to +575
Fiorentina ML moved from -220 to -250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o3+115o2¾-115o2¾-114o2½-140o2¾-114o2½-140o2½-131
Underu2½-111u3-135u2¾-105u2¾-106u2½+125u2¾-106u3-135u2½+131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100---o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2½-131
Underu2½-120---u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2½+131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.64%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 418.28%
Exactly 66.69%
Exactly 81.31%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.05%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 512.12%
Exactly 73.17%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 046.84%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 213.47%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 413.80%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.55%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 44.98%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.08%
Exactly 312.98%
Exactly 51.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 070.38%
Exactly 124.72%
Exactly 24.34%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 030.62%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals2.33%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals54.35%
Wins by 3+ goals32.68%
Wins by 4+ goals16.60%
Wins by 5+ goals7.18%
Wins by 6+ goals2.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.80%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal6.43%
Wins by 2 goals1.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal21.72%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals16.08%
Wins by 4 goals9.42%
Wins by 5 goals4.53%
Wins by 6 goals1.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.64%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.36%3.64%
1.584.32%15.68%
2.564.35%35.65%
3.542.29%57.71%
4.524.01%75.99%
5.511.89%88.11%
6.55.19%94.81%
7.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.16%46.84%
1.517.64%82.36%
2.54.16%95.84%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.40%27.60%
2.547.05%52.95%
3.525.45%74.55%
4.511.64%88.36%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.45%21.55%
1.545.37%54.63%
2.519.99%80.01%
3.57.01%92.99%
4.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
3.64%
9.29%
11.87%
10.12%
6.46%
3.30%
1
2.76%
7.05%
9.01%
7.67%
4.90%
2.51%
2
1.05%
2.67%
3.42%
2.91%
1.86%
0.95%
3
0.26%
0.68%
0.86%
0.74%
0.47%
0.24%
Sampdoria
1-02.76%
2-01.05%
2-12.67%
3-00.26%
3-10.68%
3-20.86%
Draw
0-03.64%
1-17.05%
2-23.42%
3-30.74%
Fiorentina
0-19.29%
0-211.87%
1-29.01%
0-310.12%
1-37.67%
2-32.91%
0-46.46%
1-44.90%
2-41.86%
3-40.47%
0-53.30%
1-52.51%
2-50.95%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Sampdoria
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
21.55%
25.51%
15.09%
5.95%
1.76%
0.42%
1
7.57%
8.96%
5.30%
2.09%
0.62%
0.15%
2
1.33%
1.57%
0.93%
0.37%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sampdoria
1-07.57%
2-01.33%
2-11.57%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-021.55%
1-18.96%
2-20.93%
Fiorentina
0-125.51%
0-215.09%
1-25.30%
0-35.95%
1-32.09%
2-30.37%
0-41.76%
1-40.62%
2-40.11%
0-50.42%
1-50.15%