Fiorentina at Atalanta

Updated

Fiorentina

14.5%18.7%66.8%
WinDrawAtalanta Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.25
1Final Score 4

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Atalanta+180
W 4-5 vs Bologna+115
W 1-4 vs Parma-225
L 2-1 vs Inter+300
T 0-0 vs Cremonese-280
Atalanta
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fiorentina+170
W 2-1 at Milan+210
W 1-3 vs Sassuolo-260
L 0-1 at Inter+280
W 2-5 vs Spezia-290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+316+312+295+317+309+317+317+337.8
Atalanta-117-104-115-112-110-112-104-101.3
Draw+283+248+230+255+249+255+255+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+280-+310-+265+310+310+337.8
Atalanta-115--108--140-110-108-101.3
Draw+284-+245-+270+250+270+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +318 to +312
Atalanta ML moved from -112 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +335 to +315
Atalanta ML moved from -115 to -128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-101o2½-102o2½+103o2½-101o2½+103o2½+103o2½+112
Underu2½+113u2½-117u2½-118u2½-123u2½-119u2½-123u2½-117u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128-o2½+105-o2½-120o2½+100o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2½+108-u2½-125-u2½-110u2½-120u2½-110u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-119 to u2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+110 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.07%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 417.81%
Exactly 66.08%
Exactly 81.11%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.04%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 511.40%
Exactly 72.78%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 038.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 44.56%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 312.32%
Exactly 51.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 064.50%
Exactly 128.28%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals4.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals43.65%
Wins by 3+ goals23.68%
Wins by 4+ goals10.77%
Wins by 5+ goals4.16%
Wins by 6+ goals1.37%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Atalanta
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal9.73%
Wins by 2 goals3.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals19.97%
Wins by 3 goals12.91%
Wins by 4 goals6.61%
Wins by 5 goals2.79%
Wins by 6 goals1.00%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.93%4.07%
1.582.88%17.12%
2.562.02%37.98%
3.539.76%60.24%
4.521.94%78.06%
5.510.54%89.46%
6.54.46%95.54%
7.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.22%38.78%
1.524.48%75.52%
2.57.08%92.92%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.82%34.18%
2.539.15%60.85%
3.519.12%80.88%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.60%56.40%
2.518.66%81.34%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Atalanta
Score012345
0
4.07%
9.18%
10.34%
7.77%
4.38%
1.97%
1
3.86%
8.70%
9.80%
7.36%
4.14%
1.87%
2
1.83%
4.12%
4.64%
3.48%
1.96%
0.88%
3
0.58%
1.30%
1.46%
1.10%
0.62%
0.28%
4
0.14%
0.31%
0.35%
0.26%
0.15%
0.07%
Fiorentina
1-03.86%
2-01.83%
2-14.12%
3-00.58%
3-11.30%
3-21.46%
4-00.14%
4-10.31%
4-20.35%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-04.07%
1-18.70%
2-24.64%
3-31.10%
4-40.15%
Atalanta
0-19.18%
0-210.34%
1-29.80%
0-37.77%
1-37.36%
2-33.48%
0-44.38%
1-44.14%
2-41.96%
3-40.62%
0-51.97%
1-51.87%
2-50.88%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Atalanta
Score012345
0
22.72%
23.71%
12.37%
4.30%
1.12%
0.23%
1
9.97%
10.40%
5.42%
1.89%
0.49%
0.10%
2
2.19%
2.28%
1.19%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.32%
0.33%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-09.97%
2-02.19%
2-12.28%
3-00.32%
3-10.33%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-022.72%
1-110.40%
2-21.19%
Atalanta
0-123.71%
0-212.37%
1-25.42%
0-34.30%
1-31.89%
2-30.41%
0-41.12%
1-40.49%
2-40.11%
0-50.23%
1-50.10%