Midtjylland at Aarhus

Updated

Midtjylland

53.2%22.2%24.6%
Midtjylland WinDrawAarhus Win
1.86Projected Goals 0.86
0Final Score 3

Aarhus

Last 5 Games

Midtjylland
Money Line
W 3-1 at Randers+120
W 2-3 vs Sonderjyske-245
T 2-2 at Nordsjaelland-155
W 0-4 vs Aarhus-130
W 0-1 vs Randers-150
Aarhus
Money Line
T 0-0 at Odense+210
L 0-1 at Randers+190
W 0-1 vs Aalborg+155
L 0-4 at Midtjylland+385
W 0-1 vs Sonderjyske-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+106+120+123+115+111+120+120+121.2
Aarhus+248+235+235+262+239+240+262+272.4
Draw+248+230+230+248+244+235+248+258.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+105----+115+115+121.2
Aarhus+270----+250+250+272.4
Draw+240----+235+235+258.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Midtjylland: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +110 to +104
Aarhus ML moved from +245 to +231

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Midtjylland: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +105 to -110
Aarhus ML moved from +300 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+102o2½-106o2½+103-o2½-106o2½+103o2½+109
Underu2½-112u2½-122u2½-114u2½-116-u2½-114u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.60%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 415.01%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.94%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.16%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 015.60%
Exactly 128.98%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.67%
Exactly 47.74%
Exactly 52.88%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 042.31%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.65%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.41%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 042.31%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.65%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 067.15%
Exactly 126.74%
Exactly 25.33%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals35.79%
Wins by 3+ goals16.98%
Wins by 4+ goals6.62%
Wins by 5+ goals2.14%
Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals5.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Midtjylland
Aarhus
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal25.05%
Wins by 2 goals18.81%
Wins by 3 goals10.37%
Wins by 4 goals4.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.58%
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal11.60%
Wins by 2 goals4.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.40%6.60%
1.575.46%24.54%
2.551.08%48.92%
3.528.99%71.01%
4.513.98%86.02%
5.55.82%94.18%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.40%15.60%
1.555.42%44.58%
2.528.49%71.51%
3.511.82%88.18%
4.54.07%95.93%
5.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.69%42.31%
1.521.30%78.70%
2.55.65%94.35%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.59%28.41%
1.535.84%64.16%
2.513.34%86.66%
3.53.91%96.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score01234
0
6.60%
5.68%
2.44%
0.70%
0.15%
1
12.26%
10.55%
4.54%
1.30%
0.28%
2
11.39%
9.80%
4.21%
1.21%
0.26%
3
7.05%
6.07%
2.61%
0.75%
0.16%
4
3.28%
2.82%
1.21%
0.35%
0.07%
5
1.22%
1.05%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
Midtjylland
1-012.26%
2-011.39%
2-19.80%
3-07.05%
3-16.07%
3-22.61%
4-03.28%
4-12.82%
4-21.21%
4-30.35%
5-01.22%
5-11.05%
5-20.45%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.60%
1-110.55%
2-24.21%
3-30.75%
Aarhus
0-15.68%
0-22.44%
1-24.54%
0-30.70%
1-31.30%
2-31.21%
0-40.15%
1-40.28%
2-40.26%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score0123
0
28.41%
11.31%
2.25%
0.30%
1
24.44%
9.73%
1.94%
0.26%
2
10.51%
4.19%
0.83%
0.11%
3
3.01%
1.20%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.65%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Midtjylland
1-024.44%
2-010.51%
2-14.19%
3-03.01%
3-11.20%
3-20.24%
4-00.65%
4-10.26%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.41%
1-19.73%
2-20.83%
Aarhus
0-111.31%
0-22.25%
1-21.94%
0-30.30%
1-30.26%
2-30.11%
Randers at Aalborg
Odense at Brondby