Paderborn 07 at Freiburg

Updated

Paderborn 07

8.7%14.1%77.2%
WinDrawFreiburg Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.70
3Final Score 1

Freiburg

Last Games

Paderborn 07
Money Line
L 2-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+190
W 4-5 vs Werder Bremen+170
L 1-2 at Dresden+170
Freiburg
Money Line
L 5-1 vs RB Leipzig+330
W 2-1 at Bayern Munich+1600
W 2-0 at SV Sandhausen-210
W 1-2 vs FC St. Pauli-275
W 2-1 at FC Kaiserslautern-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paderborn 07+451+522+460+470+470+470+522+515.5
Freiburg-172-201-215-217-217-217-201-173.2
Draw+342+373+340+355+355+355+373+391.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paderborn 07+420---+450-+450+515.5
Freiburg-210----235--235-173.2
Draw+290---+310-+310+391.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paderborn 07: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paderborn 07: 0.0%
Freiburg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paderborn 07: 10.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paderborn 07 ML moved from +480 to +460
Freiburg ML moved from -213 to -222

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paderborn 07: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paderborn 07: 0.0%
Freiburg: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paderborn 07: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paderborn 07 ML
Freiburg ML moved from -210 to -235

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-125o3-120o3-125o3-125o3-125o3-120o3-114
Underu3-126u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110---o3-120-o3-120o3-114
Underu3-120---u3-110-u3-110u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.97%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 418.93%
Exactly 67.80%
Exactly 81.72%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.44%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 513.31%
Exactly 73.92%
Exactly 90.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Paderborn 07
Exactly 044.34%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.66%
Exactly 33.98%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 118.10%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 414.91%
Exactly 58.06%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 80.47%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.63%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 45.75%
Exactly 60.51%
 
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 314.12%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paderborn 07
Exactly 068.62%
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 24.86%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 028.60%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Paderborn 07
Wins by 2+ goals2.46%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals56.39%
Wins by 3+ goals35.04%
Wins by 4+ goals18.55%
Wins by 5+ goals8.44%
Wins by 6+ goals3.33%
Wins by 7+ goals1.14%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Paderborn 07
Freiburg
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Paderborn 07
Wins by 1 goal6.24%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals21.34%
Wins by 3 goals16.49%
Wins by 4 goals10.11%
Wins by 5 goals5.11%
Wins by 6 goals2.19%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.03%2.97%
1.586.59%13.41%
2.568.23%31.77%
3.546.70%53.30%
4.527.78%72.22%
5.514.46%85.54%
6.56.66%93.34%
7.52.74%97.26%
8.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Paderborn 07 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.66%44.34%
1.519.60%80.40%
2.54.93%95.07%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.20%24.80%
2.550.73%49.27%
3.528.67%71.33%
4.513.76%86.24%
5.55.70%94.30%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.37%19.63%
1.548.42%51.58%
2.522.40%77.60%
3.58.28%91.72%
4.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paderborn 07
Freiburg
Score012345
0
2.97%
8.03%
10.85%
9.78%
6.61%
3.57%
1
2.41%
6.53%
8.83%
7.95%
5.38%
2.91%
2
0.98%
2.65%
3.59%
3.23%
2.19%
1.18%
3
0.27%
0.72%
0.97%
0.88%
0.59%
0.32%
Paderborn 07
1-02.41%
2-00.98%
2-12.65%
3-00.27%
3-10.72%
3-20.97%
Draw
0-02.97%
1-16.53%
2-23.59%
3-30.88%
4-40.12%
Freiburg
0-18.03%
0-210.85%
1-28.83%
0-39.78%
1-37.95%
2-33.23%
0-46.61%
1-45.38%
2-42.19%
3-40.59%
0-53.57%
1-52.91%
2-51.18%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Paderborn 07
Freiburg
Score0123456
0
19.63%
24.57%
15.38%
6.42%
2.01%
0.50%
0.10%
1
7.39%
9.25%
5.79%
2.42%
0.76%
0.19%
0.04%
2
1.39%
1.74%
1.09%
0.45%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.22%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Paderborn 07
1-07.39%
2-01.39%
2-11.74%
3-00.17%
3-10.22%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-019.63%
1-19.25%
2-21.09%
Freiburg
0-124.57%
0-215.38%
1-25.79%
0-36.42%
1-32.42%
2-30.45%
0-42.01%
1-40.76%
2-40.14%
0-50.50%
1-50.19%
0-60.10%