Düsseldorf at St. Pauli

Updated

Dusseldorf

32.5%25.1%42.4%
Düsseldorf WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.51
4Final Score 3

FC St. Pauli

Last Games

Dusseldorf
Money Line
W 2-1 at FC Magdeburg+195
L 3-5 at FC Nurnberg+150
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Schalke 04-235
L 1-2 at Freiburg+575
L 1-2 at Union Berlin+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Düsseldorf+285-+320+365+365+365+365+387.9
St. Pauli-120--130-132-132-132-130-118.5
Draw+265-+255+277+277+277+277+295.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Düsseldorf+340---+300+340+340+387.9
St. Pauli-135----155-130-130-118.5
Draw+300---+275+280+280+295.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Düsseldorf: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Düsseldorf: 40.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Düsseldorf: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Düsseldorf ML moved from +320 to +310
St. Pauli ML moved from -130 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Düsseldorf: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Düsseldorf: 40.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Düsseldorf: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Düsseldorf ML moved from +365 to +340
St. Pauli ML moved from -135 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu2¾-105-u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o3+105o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu3-130---u3-135u2½+100u3-135u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.4%
 
No43.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.10%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 415.55%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.06%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.70%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Dusseldorf
Exactly 027.54%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 222.90%
Exactly 39.84%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 022.15%
Exactly 133.39%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 312.64%
Exactly 44.77%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.39%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dusseldorf
Exactly 055.05%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 29.81%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 049.76%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 212.12%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dusseldorf
Wins by 2+ goals14.03%
Wins by 3+ goals4.77%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals20.73%
Wins by 3+ goals8.07%
Wins by 4+ goals2.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Dusseldorf
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dusseldorf
Wins by 1 goal18.43%
Wins by 2 goals9.27%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal21.55%
Wins by 2 goals12.67%
Wins by 3 goals5.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.90%6.10%
1.576.84%23.16%
2.552.98%47.02%
3.530.74%69.26%
4.515.18%84.82%
5.56.48%93.52%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Dusseldorf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.46%27.54%
1.536.94%63.06%
2.514.05%85.95%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.85%22.15%
1.544.47%55.53%
2.519.30%80.70%
3.56.66%93.34%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.61%27.39%
1.537.14%62.86%
2.514.17%85.83%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
6.10%
9.20%
6.93%
3.48%
1.31%
0.40%
1
7.87%
11.86%
8.94%
4.49%
1.69%
0.51%
2
5.07%
7.64%
5.76%
2.90%
1.09%
0.33%
3
2.18%
3.29%
2.48%
1.24%
0.47%
0.14%
4
0.70%
1.06%
0.80%
0.40%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.18%
0.27%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Dusseldorf
1-07.87%
2-05.07%
2-17.64%
3-02.18%
3-13.29%
3-22.48%
4-00.70%
4-11.06%
4-20.80%
4-30.40%
5-00.18%
5-10.27%
5-20.21%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.10%
1-111.86%
2-25.76%
3-31.24%
4-40.15%
FC St. Pauli
0-19.20%
0-26.93%
1-28.94%
0-33.48%
1-34.49%
2-32.90%
0-41.31%
1-41.69%
2-41.09%
3-40.47%
0-50.40%
1-50.51%
2-50.33%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
27.39%
19.12%
6.67%
1.55%
0.27%
1
16.35%
11.41%
3.98%
0.93%
0.16%
2
4.88%
3.41%
1.19%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.97%
0.68%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Dusseldorf
1-016.35%
2-04.88%
2-13.41%
3-00.97%
3-10.68%
3-20.24%
4-00.14%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-027.39%
1-111.41%
2-21.19%
FC St. Pauli
0-119.12%
0-26.67%
1-23.98%
0-31.55%
1-30.93%
2-30.28%
0-40.27%
1-40.16%