Mainz 05 at Dresden

Updated

Mainz 05

70.8%17.4%11.8%
Mainz 05 WinDrawWin
2.33Projected Goals 0.84
1Final Score 0

Dresden

Last Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich
W 3-1 at SV Wehen Wiesbaden-315
L 0-3 at Hertha BSC+110
L 4-0 vs Bayern Munich+510
W 3-0 at FC Erzgebirge Aue
Dresden
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Darmstadt 98+130
W 0-2 vs Dusseldorf+200
L 1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart+385
W 1-2 vs Paderborn 07+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05-104-170-193-204-195-204-170-157.5
Dresden+288+438+400+410+419+410+438+459.5
Draw+267+346+330+335+324+335+346+377.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05------157.5
Dresden-----+459.5
Draw-----+377.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dresden: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 30.0%
Dresden: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Dresden: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from -185 to -192
Dresden ML moved from +420 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o3-117o3½+128o3-125o3-122o3-125o3-117o3-114
Underu2½-102u3+100u3½-170u3+105u3-106u3+105u3+105u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.20%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 417.67%
Exactly 65.91%
Exactly 81.06%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.32%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.20%
Exactly 72.68%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 09.71%
Exactly 122.64%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 411.97%
Exactly 55.58%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Dresden
Exactly 043.30%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.17%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.06%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 44.45%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.83%
Exactly 312.14%
Exactly 51.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 033.97%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dresden
Exactly 067.87%
Exactly 126.30%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals47.71%
Wins by 3+ goals26.77%
Wins by 4+ goals12.60%
Wins by 5+ goals5.03%
Dresden
Wins by 2+ goals3.48%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Dresden
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal23.05%
Wins by 2 goals20.94%
Wins by 3 goals14.17%
Wins by 4 goals7.57%
Wins by 5 goals3.32%
Dresden
Wins by 1 goal8.27%
Wins by 2 goals2.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.80%4.20%
1.582.47%17.53%
2.561.36%38.64%
3.539.06%60.94%
4.521.39%78.61%
5.510.19%89.81%
6.54.28%95.72%
7.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.29%9.71%
1.567.65%32.35%
2.541.24%58.76%
3.520.72%79.28%
4.58.75%91.25%
5.53.17%96.83%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Dresden Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.70%43.30%
1.520.46%79.54%
2.55.29%94.71%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.94%23.06%
1.543.11%56.89%
2.518.30%81.70%
3.56.16%93.84%
4.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Dresden
Score0123
0
4.20%
3.52%
1.47%
0.41%
1
9.81%
8.21%
3.43%
0.96%
2
11.43%
9.57%
4.00%
1.12%
3
8.89%
7.44%
3.11%
0.87%
4
5.18%
4.34%
1.81%
0.51%
5
2.42%
2.02%
0.85%
0.24%
Mainz 05
1-09.81%
2-011.43%
2-19.57%
3-08.89%
3-17.44%
3-23.11%
4-05.18%
4-14.34%
4-21.81%
4-30.51%
5-02.42%
5-12.02%
5-20.85%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.20%
1-18.21%
2-24.00%
3-30.87%
4-40.11%
Dresden
0-13.52%
0-21.47%
1-23.43%
0-30.41%
1-30.96%
2-31.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Dresden
Score0123
0
23.06%
8.93%
1.73%
0.22%
1
24.89%
9.65%
1.87%
0.24%
2
13.44%
5.21%
1.01%
0.13%
3
4.84%
1.87%
0.36%
0.05%
4
1.31%
0.51%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-024.89%
2-013.44%
2-15.21%
3-04.84%
3-11.87%
3-20.36%
4-01.31%
4-10.51%
5-00.28%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.06%
1-19.65%
2-21.01%
Dresden
0-18.93%
0-21.73%
1-21.87%
0-30.22%
1-30.24%
2-30.13%