## Everton

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Aston Villa

### Last Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**3.3%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.5%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Everton | +361 | +318 | +300 | +330 | +330 | +330 | +330 | +350.9 |

Aston Villa | -132 | -120 | -125 | -125 | -125 | -125 | -120 | -112.7 |

Draw | +294 | +291 | +290 | +284 | +284 | +284 | +291 | +302.6 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Everton | +375 | - | - | - | +345 | +340 | +345 | +350.9 |

Aston Villa | -140 | - | - | - | -170 | -125 | -125 | -112.7 |

Draw | +290 | - | - | - | +265 | +275 | +275 | +302.6 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.3%**

#### Implied Margin

**3.6%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2½-130 | o3+114 | o2¾-112 | o2¾-115 | o2¾-115 | o2¾-115 | o2¾-112 | o2¾-104 |

Under | u2½+110 | u3-134 | u2¾-108 | u2¾-105 | u2¾-105 | u2¾-105 | u3-134 | u2¾+104 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Caesars | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o2½-130 | - | - | - | o2½-140 | o2½-140 | o2½-140 | o2¾-104 |

Under | u2½+110 | - | - | - | u2½+110 | u2½+120 | u2½+120 | u2¾+104 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 52.0% |

No | 48.0% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 6.14% |

Exactly 2 | 23.90% |

Exactly 4 | 15.51% |

Exactly 6 | 4.03% |

Exactly 8 | 0.56% |

Exactly 1 | 17.13% |

Exactly 3 | 22.23% |

Exactly 5 | 8.66% |

Exactly 7 | 1.60% |

Exactly 9 | 0.17% |

Exact Goals Scored - Everton | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 38.01% |

Exactly 1 | 36.77% |

Exactly 2 | 17.78% |

Exactly 3 | 5.73% |

Exactly 4 | 1.39% |

Exactly 5 | 0.27% |

Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 16.15% |

Exactly 1 | 29.45% |

Exactly 2 | 26.84% |

Exactly 3 | 16.31% |

Exactly 4 | 7.44% |

Exactly 5 | 2.71% |

Exactly 6 | 0.82% |

Exactly 7 | 0.21% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 27.47% |

Exactly 2 | 22.93% |

Exactly 4 | 3.19% |

Exactly 6 | 0.18% |

Exactly 1 | 35.49% |

Exactly 3 | 9.87% |

Exactly 5 | 0.82% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 63.90% |

Exactly 1 | 28.62% |

Exactly 2 | 6.41% |

Exactly 3 | 0.96% |

Exactly 4 | 0.11% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 42.99% |

Exactly 1 | 36.29% |

Exactly 2 | 15.32% |

Exactly 3 | 4.31% |

Exactly 4 | 0.91% |

Exactly 5 | 0.15% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Everton | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 6.73% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 1.75% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.35% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 32.98% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 15.29% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 5.83% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 1.85% |

Wins by 6+ goals | 0.47% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Everton

##### Aston Villa

Everton | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 12.96% |

Wins by 2 goals | 4.98% |

Wins by 3 goals | 1.41% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.30% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 24.43% |

Wins by 2 goals | 17.69% |

Wins by 3 goals | 9.47% |

Wins by 4 goals | 3.98% |

Wins by 5 goals | 1.37% |

Wins by 6 goals | 0.39% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 93.86% | 6.14% |

1.5 | 76.73% | 23.27% |

2.5 | 52.83% | 47.17% |

3.5 | 30.59% | 69.41% |

4.5 | 15.08% | 84.92% |

5.5 | 6.43% | 93.57% |

6.5 | 2.40% | 97.60% |

#### Total Goals Everton Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 61.99% | 38.01% |

1.5 | 25.22% | 74.78% |

2.5 | 7.44% | 92.56% |

3.5 | 1.71% | 98.29% |

#### Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 83.85% | 16.15% |

1.5 | 54.40% | 45.60% |

2.5 | 27.56% | 72.44% |

3.5 | 11.25% | 88.75% |

4.5 | 3.81% | 96.19% |

5.5 | 1.10% | 98.90% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 72.53% | 27.47% |

1.5 | 37.03% | 62.97% |

2.5 | 14.10% | 85.90% |

3.5 | 4.23% | 95.77% |

4.5 | 1.04% | 98.96% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 6.14% | 11.19% | 10.20% | 6.20% | 2.83% | 1.03% |

1 | 5.94% | 10.83% | 9.87% | 6.00% | 2.73% | 1.00% |

2 | 2.87% | 5.24% | 4.77% | 2.90% | 1.32% | 0.48% |

3 | 0.93% | 1.69% | 1.54% | 0.94% | 0.43% | 0.16% |

4 | 0.22% | 0.41% | 0.37% | 0.23% | 0.10% | 0.04% |

Everton | |
---|---|

1-0 | 5.94% |

2-0 | 2.87% |

2-1 | 5.24% |

3-0 | 0.93% |

3-1 | 1.69% |

3-2 | 1.54% |

4-0 | 0.22% |

4-1 | 0.41% |

4-2 | 0.37% |

4-3 | 0.23% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 6.14% |

1-1 | 10.83% |

2-2 | 4.77% |

3-3 | 0.94% |

4-4 | 0.10% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

0-1 | 11.19% |

0-2 | 10.20% |

1-2 | 9.87% |

0-3 | 6.20% |

1-3 | 6.00% |

2-3 | 2.90% |

0-4 | 2.83% |

1-4 | 2.73% |

2-4 | 1.32% |

3-4 | 0.43% |

0-5 | 1.03% |

1-5 | 1.00% |

2-5 | 0.48% |

3-5 | 0.16% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 27.47% | 23.19% | 9.79% | 2.75% | 0.58% |

1 | 12.30% | 10.39% | 4.38% | 1.23% | 0.26% |

2 | 2.76% | 2.33% | 0.98% | 0.28% | 0.06% |

3 | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.15% | 0.04% | 0.01% |

Everton | |
---|---|

1-0 | 12.30% |

2-0 | 2.76% |

2-1 | 2.33% |

3-0 | 0.41% |

3-1 | 0.35% |

3-2 | 0.15% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 27.47% |

1-1 | 10.39% |

2-2 | 0.98% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

0-1 | 23.19% |

0-2 | 9.79% |

1-2 | 4.38% |

0-3 | 2.75% |

1-3 | 1.23% |

2-3 | 0.28% |

0-4 | 0.58% |

1-4 | 0.26% |