Aston Villa at Manchester Utd

Updated

Aston Villa

14.8%19.7%65.5%
WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.89Projected Goals 2.12
2Final Score 4

Manchester United

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 4-1 at Bolton Wanderers
L 3-4 at Chelsea+725
Manchester United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs West Ham United-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+430+397+390+425+419+425+425+434.0
Manchester Utd-153-137-145-145-141-145-137-131.8
Draw+307+284+270+295+298+295+298+309.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+420---+325-+325+434.0
Manchester Utd-205----160--160-131.8
Draw+280---+260-+260+309.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +419 to +413
Manchester Utd ML moved from -137 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +360 to +325
No Steam Moves On Manchester Utd ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-129o2½-118o2½-122o2½-121o2½-119o2½-121o2½-118o2½-111
Underu2½+109u2½+100u2½+102u2½+101u2½+104u2½+101u2½+104u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130---o2½-140-o2½-140o2½-111
Underu2½+100---u2½+110-u2½+110u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.80%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 040.82%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.39%
Exactly 34.89%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.77%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 066.04%
Exactly 127.40%
Exactly 25.68%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals4.68%
Wins by 3+ goals1.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals41.50%
Wins by 3+ goals21.65%
Wins by 4+ goals9.41%
Wins by 5+ goals3.46%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Manchester United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal10.12%
Wins by 2 goals3.55%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal23.93%
Wins by 2 goals19.86%
Wins by 3 goals12.24%
Wins by 4 goals5.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.29%19.71%
2.557.99%42.01%
3.535.59%64.41%
4.518.71%81.29%
5.58.53%91.47%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.18%40.82%
1.522.61%77.39%
2.56.22%93.78%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.50%37.50%
2.535.52%64.48%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.23%24.77%
1.540.66%59.34%
2.516.54%83.46%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
4.91%
10.40%
11.01%
7.77%
4.12%
1.74%
1
4.40%
9.32%
9.87%
6.97%
3.69%
1.56%
2
1.97%
4.17%
4.42%
3.12%
1.65%
0.70%
3
0.59%
1.25%
1.32%
0.93%
0.49%
0.21%
4
0.13%
0.28%
0.30%
0.21%
0.11%
0.05%
Aston Villa
1-04.40%
2-01.97%
2-14.17%
3-00.59%
3-11.25%
3-21.32%
4-00.13%
4-10.28%
4-20.30%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-19.32%
2-24.42%
3-30.93%
4-40.11%
Manchester United
0-110.40%
0-211.01%
1-29.87%
0-37.77%
1-36.97%
2-33.12%
0-44.12%
1-43.69%
2-41.65%
3-40.49%
0-51.74%
1-51.56%
2-50.70%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
24.77%
24.29%
11.91%
3.89%
0.95%
0.19%
1
10.28%
10.08%
4.94%
1.62%
0.40%
0.08%
2
2.13%
2.09%
1.03%
0.34%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.29%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-010.28%
2-02.13%
2-12.09%
3-00.29%
3-10.29%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-024.77%
1-110.08%
2-21.03%
Manchester United
0-124.29%
0-211.91%
1-24.94%
0-33.89%
1-31.62%
2-30.34%
0-40.95%
1-40.40%
0-50.19%