EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 7, 2025
Games for Dec 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Morecambe
Huddersfield
8.2%
77.0%
14.8%
+690
-252
+550
-300
0
3
-0.37317-0.40642-0.26131
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
41.1%
32.4%
26.5%
+203
+127
+200
-110
2
4
-0.85633-0.76656-1.12649
Doncaster Rovers
Salford City
23.4%
51.1%
25.5%
+100
+262
+100
+190
2
0
-0.73178-0.81229-1.45239
Millwall
Portsmouth
30.1%
41.8%
28.0%
+133
+216
+135
+160
1
0
-0.88486-0.97453-1.19915
Blackpool
Burton Albion
46.1%
27.8%
26.1%
-101
+275
-135
+280
4
0
-0.72755-0.67431-0.77449
Birmingham City
Charlton Athletic
37.8%
34.1%
28.1%
+148
+188
+100
+200
1
0
-0.94376-0.81310-0.97328
Stoke City
Carlisle United
67.8%
12.6%
19.6%
-133
+400
-180
+360
2
0
-0.58754-0.56131-0.38814
Newport County
Leyton Orient
22.0%
52.3%
25.7%
+903
-311
+650
-370
1
4
-0.31316-0.36242-0.64793
Liverpool
Chelsea
35.7%
36.0%
28.2%
+138
+195
+138
+195
1
0
-0.89189-0.90042-1.02943
Liverpool
Fulham
65.0%
14.9%
20.1%
-102
+276
-105
+280
1
1
-1.42570-1.40185-1.60425
Middlesbrough
Chelsea
5.6%
82.2%
12.2%
+1341
-521
+1450
-590
1
6
-0.20993-0.18681-0.19575
Fulham
Liverpool
5.3%
83.5%
11.2%
+590
-214
+630
-228
1
2
-0.41229-0.40543-0.18042
Chelsea
Middlesbrough
66.9%
13.4%
19.7%
-192
+570
-200
+560
0
1
-1.92600-1.92669-2.00738
West Ham United
Liverpool
8.2%
77.4%
14.4%
+550
-202
+525
-215
1
5
-0.42701-0.42554-0.25593
Newcastle United
Chelsea
19.8%
56.7%
23.5%
+385
-145
+400
-150
2
4
-0.55729-0.55379-0.56754
Fulham
Everton
23.9%
51.0%
25.0%
+315
-101
+310
-105
7
6
-1.45107-1.45196-1.42983
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.