EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 7, 2025
Games for Dec 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Millwall
Newport County
49.3%
23.7%
27.0%
-234
+667
-300
+600
1
0
-0.39479-0.40825-0.70721
Doncaster Rovers
Middlesbrough
38.5%
33.5%
28.0%
+411
-163
+375
-200
4
0
-1.66967-1.67788-0.95529
Preston North End
Barrow
54.6%
20.0%
25.5%
-109
+316
-130
+270
1
0
-0.69065-0.69241-0.60591
Crawley Town
Swansea City
18.6%
59.5%
21.9%
+711
-270
+550
-300
1
3
-0.35425-0.40642-0.51948
Oldham Athletic
Accrington Stanley
35.3%
38.3%
26.3%
+127
+260
+115
+185
1
3
-1.29499-1.16819-0.95920
Newcastle United
Liverpool
9.4%
74.8%
15.8%
+355
+356
+325
-115
2
1
-1.14731-1.47973-2.36563
Tottenham
Liverpool
9.1%
76.4%
14.5%
+941
-405
+900
-390
0
4
-0.25156-0.26630-0.26911
Arsenal
Newcastle United
41.4%
31.5%
27.1%
-124
+335
-130
+335
0
2
-1.49714-1.50842-1.15515
Liverpool
Tottenham
43.0%
31.2%
25.8%
-168
+400
-175
+385
0
1
-1.64403-1.62455-1.16437
Newcastle United
Arsenal
12.9%
68.3%
18.7%
+427
-148
+435
-150
2
0
-1.69494-1.71336-2.04562
Manchester United
Tottenham
26.1%
49.6%
24.3%
+206
+119
+205
+116
3
4
-0.81799-0.81626-0.70102
Liverpool
Southampton
73.6%
10.4%
16.0%
-176
+455
-185
+470
2
1
-0.47791-0.47322-0.30696
Brentford
Newcastle United
14.2%
65.8%
20.1%
+625
-238
+650
-215
1
3
-0.38176-0.38827-0.41919
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
9.7%
73.6%
16.6%
+450
-142
+575
-145
2
3
-0.56105-0.51133-0.30610
Manchester City
Tottenham
55.5%
21.8%
22.8%
+178
+147
+175
+145
1
2
-0.94202-0.93731-1.52505
Chelsea
Newcastle United
35.0%
36.2%
28.7%
+237
+114
+240
+130
0
2
-0.79173-0.82849-1.01473
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.