Swansea City at Stoke City

Updated

Swansea City

32.1%27.9%40.0%
Swansea City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.25
1Final Score 2

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth+105
W 0-2 vs Oxford United+110
L 2-3 at West Bromwich Albion+360
L 2-1 vs Derby County+115
L 0-3 at Bristol City+300
Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Ipswich Town+460
L 0-4 at Sheffield United+270
L 2-1 vs Hull City-140
W 0-3 vs Charlton Athletic-150
L 1-2 at Leicester City+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+305+260+245+235+235+235+260+261.2
Stoke City-118+114+105+114+114+114+114+130.8
Draw+235+240+225+220+220+220+240+245.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+325----+355+355+261.2
Stoke City-115-----125-125+130.8
Draw+255----+265+265+245.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +255 to +245
Stoke City ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Swansea City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 90.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML
Stoke City ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120o2¼-109o2¼-108o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼+104
Underu2¼+100u2¼-104u2¼-112u2¼-114u2¼-114u2¼-114u2¼-104u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼+103 to u2¼-124

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.57%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.09%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.46%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 033.53%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.02%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.74%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 060.30%
Exactly 130.50%
Exactly 27.72%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 055.96%
Exactly 132.49%
Exactly 29.43%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals12.55%
Wins by 3+ goals3.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals17.63%
Wins by 3+ goals6.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal19.45%
Wins by 2 goals8.81%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals11.60%
Wins by 3 goals4.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.43%9.57%
1.567.97%32.03%
2.541.63%58.37%
3.521.02%78.98%
4.58.93%91.07%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.47%33.53%
1.529.83%70.17%
2.59.81%90.19%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.68%64.32%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.26%33.74%
1.529.60%70.40%
2.59.69%90.31%
3.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.57%
12.00%
7.52%
3.14%
0.99%
0.25%
1
10.46%
13.11%
8.22%
3.44%
1.08%
0.27%
2
5.71%
7.16%
4.49%
1.88%
0.59%
0.15%
3
2.08%
2.61%
1.64%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.57%
0.71%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-010.46%
2-05.71%
2-17.16%
3-02.08%
3-12.61%
3-21.64%
4-00.57%
4-10.71%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-09.57%
1-113.11%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Stoke City
0-112.00%
0-27.52%
1-28.22%
0-33.14%
1-33.44%
2-31.88%
0-40.99%
1-41.08%
2-40.59%
3-40.21%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
33.74%
19.59%
5.69%
1.10%
0.16%
1
17.07%
9.91%
2.88%
0.56%
0.08%
2
4.32%
2.51%
0.73%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.73%
0.42%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-017.07%
2-04.32%
2-12.51%
3-00.73%
3-10.42%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.74%
1-19.91%
2-20.73%
Stoke City
0-119.59%
0-25.69%
1-22.88%
0-31.10%
1-30.56%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%
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