Millwall at Watford

Updated

Millwall

26.4%26.5%47.1%
Millwall WinDrawWatford Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Bournemouth+360
T 0-0 at Brentford+550
L 3-0 vs Swansea City+175
W 2-1 at Stoke City+265
W 0-1 vs Rotherham United+130
Watford
Money Line
W 1-0 at Norwich City+235
L 0-1 at Luton Town-125
W 0-2 vs Reading-125
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+120
W 0-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+450+581+600+560+566+560+600-
Watford-155-196-200-200-200-200-196-
Draw+280+311+295+280+312+280+312-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+615---+575+625+625-
Watford-200----250-195-195-
Draw+310---+275+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 50.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +625 to +600
Watford ML moved from -192 to -213

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 50.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +675 to +625
Watford ML moved from -225 to -250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2¼-119o2½+110o2¼-122-o2¼-122o2¼-119-
Underu2½-140u2¼-103u2½-130u2¼+102-u2¼+102u2½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.07%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.65%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.30%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 043.89%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.88%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.94%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.54%
Exactly 219.51%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.91%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 068.30%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.58%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.75%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals6.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals26.57%
Wins by 3+ goals10.53%
Wins by 4+ goals3.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal14.44%
Wins by 2 goals5.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.82%
Wins by 2 goals16.05%
Wins by 3 goals7.19%
Wins by 4 goals2.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.93%10.07%
1.566.82%33.18%
2.540.28%59.72%
3.519.98%80.02%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.11%43.89%
1.519.97%80.03%
2.55.09%94.91%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.06%22.94%
1.543.28%56.72%
2.518.42%81.58%
3.56.22%93.78%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.46%34.54%
1.528.74%71.26%
2.59.22%90.78%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Watford
Score012345
0
10.07%
14.82%
10.91%
5.36%
1.97%
0.58%
1
8.29%
12.21%
8.99%
4.41%
1.62%
0.48%
2
3.41%
5.03%
3.70%
1.82%
0.67%
0.20%
3
0.94%
1.38%
1.02%
0.50%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.19%
0.28%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Millwall
1-08.29%
2-03.41%
2-15.03%
3-00.94%
3-11.38%
3-21.02%
4-00.19%
4-10.28%
4-20.21%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-010.07%
1-112.21%
2-23.70%
3-30.50%
Watford
0-114.82%
0-210.91%
1-28.99%
0-35.36%
1-34.41%
2-31.82%
0-41.97%
1-41.62%
2-40.67%
3-40.18%
0-50.58%
1-50.48%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Watford
Score01234
0
34.54%
23.55%
8.03%
1.82%
0.31%
1
13.17%
8.98%
3.06%
0.70%
0.12%
2
2.51%
1.71%
0.58%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.32%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.17%
2-02.51%
2-11.71%
3-00.32%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-034.54%
1-18.98%
2-20.58%
Watford
0-123.55%
0-28.03%
1-23.06%
0-31.82%
1-30.70%
2-30.13%
0-40.31%
1-40.12%