Stoke City at Southampton

Updated

Stoke City

23.6%24.5%51.8%
Stoke City WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.65
2Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+115
W 1-3 vs Derby County+120
T 0-0 at Derby County+330
L 2-0 vs Sheffield United+135
L 0-6 at Leeds United+1100
Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+260
W 1-2 vs Wrexham-145
W 1-0 at Leeds United+220
W 1-3 vs West Bromwich Albion-145
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+370+303+280+245+298+245+303+277.7
Southampton-147-109-114-108-115-108-108+110.9
Draw+265+270+245+250+265+250+270+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+385---+330+325+330+277.7
Southampton-140----155-120-120+110.9
Draw+280---+250+270+270+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +311 to +298
Southampton ML moved from -117 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 60.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +360 to +320
Southampton ML moved from -130 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-110o2½-112o2½-111o2½-111o2½-111o2½-110o2½-101
Underu2½-122u2½-106u2½-108u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½-106u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.87%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 414.72%
Exactly 63.52%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.40%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.89%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.72%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 019.23%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.36%
Exactly 45.92%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.94%
Exactly 222.25%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.09%
Exactly 129.59%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 046.61%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.58%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.55%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals27.73%
Wins by 3+ goals11.86%
Wins by 4+ goals4.14%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal15.03%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals15.87%
Wins by 3 goals7.71%
Wins by 4 goals2.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.13%6.87%
1.574.73%25.27%
2.550.10%49.90%
3.528.11%71.89%
4.513.38%86.62%
5.55.50%94.50%
6.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.28%35.72%
1.527.50%72.50%
2.58.58%91.42%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.77%19.23%
1.549.06%50.94%
2.522.93%77.07%
3.58.57%91.43%
4.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.06%28.94%
1.535.17%64.83%
2.512.93%87.07%
3.53.73%96.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.87%
11.33%
9.34%
5.13%
2.11%
0.70%
1
7.07%
11.66%
9.61%
5.28%
2.18%
0.72%
2
3.64%
6.00%
4.95%
2.72%
1.12%
0.37%
3
1.25%
2.06%
1.70%
0.93%
0.38%
0.13%
4
0.32%
0.53%
0.44%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
Stoke City
1-07.07%
2-03.64%
2-16.00%
3-01.25%
3-12.06%
3-21.70%
4-00.32%
4-10.53%
4-20.44%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.87%
1-111.66%
2-24.95%
3-30.93%
Southampton
0-111.33%
0-29.34%
1-29.61%
0-35.13%
1-35.28%
2-32.72%
0-42.11%
1-42.18%
2-41.12%
3-40.38%
0-50.70%
1-50.72%
2-50.37%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Southampton
Score01234
0
28.94%
22.09%
8.43%
2.15%
0.41%
1
13.79%
10.53%
4.02%
1.02%
0.20%
2
3.29%
2.51%
0.96%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.52%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-013.79%
2-03.29%
2-12.51%
3-00.52%
3-10.40%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-028.94%
1-110.53%
2-20.96%
Southampton
0-122.09%
0-28.43%
1-24.02%
0-32.15%
1-31.02%
2-30.24%
0-40.41%
1-40.20%
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