Watford at Swansea City

Updated

Watford

23.6%25.4%51.0%
Watford WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.56
1Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
L 0-1 at Charlton Athletic+215
T 1-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+180
L 1-2 at Blackburn+440
L 0-1 at Portsmouth+295
Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+160
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+300
T 3-3 vs Oxford United-150
L 0-1 at Millwall+225
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+255+376+375+335+386+335+386+369.5
Swansea City-101-123-138-127-134-127-123-107.6
Draw+235+260+240+245+256+245+260+272.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+300---+260+300+300+369.5
Swansea City-110----120-105-105-107.6
Draw+260---+230+245+245+272.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +338 to +324
Swansea City ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Swansea City: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +300 to +275
Swansea City ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2½+119o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2¼-110u2½-140u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-110u2½-140u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-108 to o2½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.89%
Exactly 225.44%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.04%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.95%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 037.70%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 020.93%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.35%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.86%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 063.66%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 048.47%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals8.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals26.44%
Wins by 3+ goals10.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.93%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal15.26%
Wins by 2 goals6.06%
Wins by 3 goals1.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals15.60%
Wins by 3 goals7.27%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.11%7.89%
1.572.07%27.93%
2.546.63%53.37%
3.525.09%74.91%
4.511.42%88.58%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.30%37.70%
1.525.52%74.48%
2.57.58%92.42%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.07%20.93%
1.546.34%53.66%
2.520.74%79.26%
3.57.39%92.61%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.14%30.86%
1.532.86%67.14%
2.511.53%88.47%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.89%
12.34%
9.65%
5.03%
1.97%
0.62%
1
7.70%
12.04%
9.41%
4.91%
1.92%
0.60%
2
3.75%
5.87%
4.59%
2.39%
0.94%
0.29%
3
1.22%
1.91%
1.49%
0.78%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.30%
0.47%
0.36%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Watford
1-07.70%
2-03.75%
2-15.87%
3-01.22%
3-11.91%
3-21.49%
4-00.30%
4-10.47%
4-20.36%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.89%
1-112.04%
2-24.59%
3-30.78%
Swansea City
0-112.34%
0-29.65%
1-29.41%
0-35.03%
1-34.91%
2-32.39%
0-41.97%
1-41.92%
2-40.94%
3-40.30%
0-50.62%
1-50.60%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.86%
22.35%
8.09%
1.95%
0.35%
1
13.94%
10.09%
3.65%
0.88%
0.16%
2
3.15%
2.28%
0.83%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.47%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-013.94%
2-03.15%
2-12.28%
3-00.47%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.86%
1-110.09%
2-20.83%
Swansea City
0-122.35%
0-28.09%
1-23.65%
0-31.95%
1-30.88%
2-30.20%
0-40.35%
1-40.16%
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