Watford at Sunderland

Updated

Watford

17.5%22.9%59.6%
WinDrawSunderland Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 2

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+170
L 1-2 at Coventry City+365
L 2-1 vs Preston North End+115
W 2-0 at Derby County+290
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+230
Sunderland
Money Line
W 3-2 at Middlesbrough+195
T 2-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-475
W 1-0 at Derby County+100
T 0-0 at Burnley+255
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+492+598+550+520+564+520+598+570.0
Sunderland-175-210-220-222-221-222-210-176.2
Draw+325+357+340+335+353+335+357+370.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+550---+480+550+550+570.0
Sunderland-205----250-205-205-176.2
Draw+350---+315+350+350+370.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +583 to +564
Sunderland ML moved from -221 to -229

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Sunderland ML moved from -235 to -250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½-125o2¾+100o2½-118o2¾+100o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu2½-116u2½+107u2¾-120u2½-102u2¾-122u2½-102u2¾-120u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.85%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 042.74%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.44%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 016.72%
Exactly 129.90%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 315.95%
Exactly 47.13%
Exactly 52.55%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.47%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 067.47%
Exactly 126.55%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 043.68%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.98%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals5.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals34.26%
Wins by 3+ goals15.81%
Wins by 4+ goals5.98%
Wins by 5+ goals1.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Sunderland
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal12.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal25.30%
Wins by 2 goals18.44%
Wins by 3 goals9.84%
Wins by 4 goals4.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.00%26.00%
2.549.13%50.87%
3.527.25%72.75%
4.512.81%87.19%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.26%42.74%
1.520.93%79.07%
2.55.49%94.51%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.28%16.72%
1.553.38%46.62%
2.526.64%73.36%
3.510.69%89.31%
4.53.56%96.44%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.53%29.47%
1.534.52%65.48%
2.512.53%87.47%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Sunderland
Score012345
0
7.14%
12.78%
11.43%
6.82%
3.05%
1.09%
1
6.07%
10.86%
9.72%
5.79%
2.59%
0.93%
2
2.58%
4.62%
4.13%
2.46%
1.10%
0.39%
3
0.73%
1.31%
1.17%
0.70%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.16%
0.28%
0.25%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Watford
1-06.07%
2-02.58%
2-14.62%
3-00.73%
3-11.31%
3-21.17%
4-00.16%
4-10.28%
4-20.25%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-110.86%
2-24.13%
3-30.70%
Sunderland
0-112.78%
0-211.43%
1-29.72%
0-36.82%
1-35.79%
2-32.46%
0-43.05%
1-42.59%
2-41.10%
3-40.31%
0-51.09%
1-50.93%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Sunderland
Score01234
0
29.47%
24.41%
10.11%
2.79%
0.58%
1
11.60%
9.61%
3.98%
1.10%
0.23%
2
2.28%
1.89%
0.78%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.30%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-011.60%
2-02.28%
2-11.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.25%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.47%
1-19.61%
2-20.78%
Sunderland
0-124.41%
0-210.11%
1-23.98%
0-32.79%
1-31.10%
2-30.22%
0-40.58%
1-40.23%
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