Sunderland at Derby County

Updated

Sunderland

38.4%28.9%32.6%
Sunderland WinDrawDerby County Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.05
1Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Sunderland
Money Line
T 0-0 at Burnley+255
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth-200
W 1-2 vs Sheffield United+115
L 0-1 at Stoke City+125
T 2-2 at Blackburn+160
Derby County
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Watford+110
L 0-1 at Bristol City+360
L 2-4 at Sheffield Wednesday+300
L 1-0 vs Leeds United+480
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+110-107-110-114-116-114-107+103.7
Derby County+240+308+300+275+309+275+309+306.9
Draw+230+259+235+250+260+250+260+279.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+115---+100+100+100+103.7
Derby County+245---+225+290+290+306.9
Draw+240---+215+240+240+279.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sunderland: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +100 to -103
Derby County ML moved from +220 to +210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sunderland: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +110 to +100
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120o2½+109o2¼-125o2½-104o2¼-124o2½-104o2¼-124o2½+105
Underu2¼+100u2½-128u2¼+105u2½-116u2¼+102u2½-116u2½-116u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+105
Under-----u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-113 to o2½+101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.87%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 410.99%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.12%
Exactly 319.80%
Exactly 54.88%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 031.12%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.92%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.79%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 41.66%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 058.25%
Exactly 131.48%
Exactly 28.51%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.44%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 27.29%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals16.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.22%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals12.53%
Wins by 3+ goals3.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Sunderland
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal22.24%
Wins by 2 goals10.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.05%
Wins by 2 goals8.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.13%10.87%
1.565.01%34.99%
2.538.25%61.75%
3.518.45%81.55%
4.57.46%92.54%
5.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.88%31.12%
1.532.55%67.45%
2.511.35%88.65%
3.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.08%34.92%
1.528.34%71.66%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.21%35.79%
1.527.44%72.56%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sunderland
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.87%
11.43%
6.01%
2.11%
0.55%
0.12%
1
12.69%
13.35%
7.02%
2.46%
0.65%
0.14%
2
7.40%
7.79%
4.10%
1.44%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.88%
3.03%
1.59%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.84%
0.88%
0.47%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Sunderland
1-012.69%
2-07.40%
2-17.79%
3-02.88%
3-13.03%
3-21.59%
4-00.84%
4-10.88%
4-20.47%
4-30.16%
5-00.20%
5-10.21%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.87%
1-113.35%
2-24.10%
3-30.56%
Derby County
0-111.43%
0-26.01%
1-27.02%
0-32.11%
1-32.46%
2-31.44%
0-40.55%
1-40.65%
2-40.38%
3-40.15%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sunderland
Derby County
Score0123
0
35.79%
17.43%
4.25%
0.69%
1
19.34%
9.42%
2.29%
0.37%
2
5.23%
2.55%
0.62%
0.10%
3
0.94%
0.46%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Sunderland
1-019.34%
2-05.23%
2-12.55%
3-00.94%
3-10.46%
3-20.11%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-035.79%
1-19.42%
2-20.62%
Derby County
0-117.43%
0-24.25%
1-22.29%
0-30.69%
1-30.37%
2-30.10%
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