Millwall at Southampton

Updated

Millwall

33.8%26.5%39.7%
Millwall WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 0

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bristol City+150
T 0-0 vs Ipswich Town+280
L 0-2 at Blackburn+255
L 3-1 vs Hull City-105
T 1-1 at Derby County+185
Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+185
L 1-2 at Oxford United-120
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+150
L 1-2 at Norwich City-105
W 2-3 vs West Bromwich Albion-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+325+295+275+245+245+245+295+277.7
Southampton-142-102-111-108-108-108-102+110.9
Draw+280+255+240+250+250+250+255+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+330----+305+305+277.7
Southampton-130-----115-115+110.9
Draw+295----+270+270+283.2

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Millwall: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 40.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +255 to +245
Southampton ML moved from -123 to -130

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Millwall: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 40.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 60.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +350 to +305
No Steam Moves On Southampton ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-102o2½-105o2½-111o2½-111o2½-111o2½-102o2½-101
Underu2¾-118u2½-110u2½-115u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.58%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 025.88%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 310.65%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 056.69%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 053.49%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 210.47%
Exactly 32.18%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals14.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.72%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals18.20%
Wins by 3+ goals6.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal19.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.59%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals11.66%
Wins by 3 goals4.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.82%27.18%
2.547.58%52.42%
3.525.90%74.10%
4.511.94%88.06%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.12%25.88%
1.539.13%60.87%
2.515.49%84.51%
3.54.84%95.16%
4.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.49%66.51%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Southampton
Score012345
0
7.60%
10.27%
6.94%
3.13%
1.06%
0.29%
1
9.31%
12.59%
8.51%
3.83%
1.29%
0.35%
2
5.71%
7.71%
5.21%
2.35%
0.79%
0.21%
3
2.33%
3.15%
2.13%
0.96%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.71%
0.97%
0.65%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.24%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Millwall
1-09.31%
2-05.71%
2-17.71%
3-02.33%
3-13.15%
3-22.13%
4-00.71%
4-10.97%
4-20.65%
4-30.29%
5-00.18%
5-10.24%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-112.59%
2-25.21%
3-30.96%
Southampton
0-110.27%
0-26.94%
1-28.51%
0-33.13%
1-33.83%
2-32.35%
0-41.06%
1-41.29%
2-40.79%
3-40.32%
0-50.29%
1-50.35%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Southampton
Score01234
0
30.32%
18.98%
5.94%
1.24%
0.19%
1
17.21%
10.77%
3.37%
0.70%
0.11%
2
4.88%
3.06%
0.96%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.92%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.21%
2-04.88%
2-13.06%
3-00.92%
3-10.58%
3-20.18%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-030.32%
1-110.77%
2-20.96%
Southampton
0-118.98%
0-25.94%
1-23.37%
0-31.24%
1-30.70%
2-30.20%
0-40.19%
1-40.11%
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