Millwall at Derby County

Updated

Millwall

31.8%29.4%38.8%
Millwall WinDrawDerby County Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.15

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bristol City+265
W 2-3 vs Southampton+205
W 0-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-150
L 1-3 at Portsmouth+215
T 1-1 vs Preston North End+115
Derby County
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Leicester City+175
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+325
W 2-1 at Swansea City+275
L 3-2 vs Watford+145
W 2-1 at Blackburn+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+215+205+195+181-+192+205+215.0
Derby County+140+152+145+143-+136+152+154.6
Draw+205+205+195+220-+220+220+245.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+210---+200+220+220+215.0
Derby County+145---+120+140+140+154.6
Draw+210---+190+210+210+245.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +220 to +205
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-122o2-122o2-121-o2-121o2-121o2-110
Underu2+100u2+103u2+102u2+101-u2+101u2+103u2+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-110
Under-----u2+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.57%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.43%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 124.96%
Exactly 319.34%
Exactly 54.50%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 036.46%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.56%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.84%
Exactly 218.37%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 062.68%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.78%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals11.85%
Wins by 3+ goals3.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals16.20%
Wins by 3+ goals5.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal19.87%
Wins by 2 goals8.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.60%
Wins by 2 goals11.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.43%11.57%
1.563.47%36.53%
2.536.56%63.44%
3.517.22%82.78%
4.56.79%93.21%
5.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.54%36.46%
1.526.75%73.25%
2.58.19%91.81%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.84%68.16%
2.510.94%89.06%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.16%36.84%
1.526.37%73.63%
2.58.00%92.00%
3.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.57%
13.28%
7.62%
2.92%
0.84%
0.19%
1
11.68%
13.40%
7.69%
2.94%
0.84%
0.19%
2
5.89%
6.76%
3.88%
1.48%
0.43%
0.10%
3
1.98%
2.27%
1.30%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.50%
0.57%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.68%
2-05.89%
2-16.76%
3-01.98%
3-12.27%
3-21.30%
4-00.50%
4-10.57%
4-20.33%
4-30.13%
5-00.10%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.57%
1-113.40%
2-23.88%
3-30.50%
Derby County
0-113.28%
0-27.62%
1-27.69%
0-32.92%
1-32.94%
2-31.48%
0-40.84%
1-40.84%
2-40.43%
3-40.14%
0-50.19%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.84%
19.58%
5.20%
0.92%
0.12%
1
17.21%
9.14%
2.43%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.02%
2.14%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.63%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.21%
2-04.02%
2-12.14%
3-00.63%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-036.84%
1-19.14%
2-20.57%
Derby County
0-119.58%
0-25.20%
1-22.43%
0-30.92%
1-30.43%
2-30.10%
0-40.12%
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