Bristol City at Derby County

Updated

Bristol City

24.1%25.5%50.4%
Bristol City WinDrawDerby County Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.55
3Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Bristol City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United+335
W 1-0 at Stoke City+410
T 1-1 vs Peterborough United-125
L 2-3 at Bournemouth+640
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+275
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+465
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+160
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+320+165+160+174+186+160+174+181.0
Derby County-115+170+156+176+141+156+176+181.0
Draw+245+220+230+228+238+230+238+247.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+215---+215+170+215+181.0
Derby County+100---+100+170+170+181.0
Draw+215---+215+225+225+247.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +181 to +152
Derby County ML moved from +165 to +156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 80.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +200 to +170
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+102o2½-103o2½+105-o2½-103o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2½-112u2½-122u2½-117u2½-120-u2½-117u2½-117u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½+109
Underu2½-120---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.11%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 037.34%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 021.27%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.15%
Exactly 45.09%
Exactly 51.58%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 063.37%
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 048.83%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.54%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals8.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals25.91%
Wins by 3+ goals10.53%
Wins by 4+ goals3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Bristol City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal24.37%
Wins by 2 goals15.37%
Wins by 3 goals7.09%
Wins by 4 goals2.55%
Wins by 5 goals0.74%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.94%28.06%
2.546.47%53.53%
3.524.95%75.05%
4.511.33%88.67%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.66%37.34%
1.525.88%74.12%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.73%21.27%
1.545.81%54.19%
2.520.33%79.67%
3.57.18%92.82%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.05%30.95%
1.532.75%67.25%
2.511.47%88.53%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bristol City
Derby County
Score012345
0
7.94%
12.29%
9.51%
4.91%
1.90%
0.59%
1
7.82%
12.11%
9.37%
4.84%
1.87%
0.58%
2
3.85%
5.96%
4.62%
2.38%
0.92%
0.29%
3
1.27%
1.96%
1.52%
0.78%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.31%
0.48%
0.37%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Bristol City
1-07.82%
2-03.85%
2-15.96%
3-01.27%
3-11.96%
3-21.52%
4-00.31%
4-10.48%
4-20.37%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.94%
1-112.11%
2-24.62%
3-30.78%
Derby County
0-112.29%
0-29.51%
1-29.37%
0-34.91%
1-34.84%
2-32.38%
0-41.90%
1-41.87%
2-40.92%
3-40.30%
0-50.59%
1-50.58%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Bristol City
Derby County
Score01234
0
30.95%
22.18%
7.95%
1.90%
0.34%
1
14.12%
10.12%
3.63%
0.87%
0.16%
2
3.22%
2.31%
0.83%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.49%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Bristol City
1-014.12%
2-03.22%
2-12.31%
3-00.49%
3-10.35%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.95%
1-110.12%
2-20.83%
Derby County
0-122.18%
0-27.95%
1-23.63%
0-31.90%
1-30.87%
2-30.20%
0-40.34%
1-40.16%