Middlesbrough at Millwall

Updated

Middlesbrough

33.8%29.0%37.1%
Middlesbrough WinDrawMillwall Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.14
3Final Score 0

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City+100
L 0-2 at Coventry City+215
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-175
L 1-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+105
W 1-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-260
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Norwich City+260
L 1-3 at Burnley+520
W 0-1 vs Swansea City+135
W 1-3 vs Norwich City+125
L 1-4 at Blackburn+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+200+251+240+210+234+210+251+234.4
Millwall+128+120+111+123+119+123+123+140.6
Draw+215+233+215+225+229+225+233+250.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+220---+205+240+240+234.4
Millwall+135---+115+125+125+140.6
Draw+220---+200+220+220+250.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +240 to +234
Millwall ML moved from +126 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +250 to +230
Millwall ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+118o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-109o2¼-115o2¼-109o2¼-104
Underu2¼-102u2½-138u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-111u2¼-105u2½-138u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.98%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.89%
Exactly 61.77%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.26%
Exactly 319.73%
Exactly 54.81%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.24%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.67%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 032.07%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.96%
Exactly 218.81%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.41%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.88%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 059.07%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.20%
Wins by 3+ goals3.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals15.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.56%
Wins by 2 goals9.29%
Wins by 3 goals3.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals10.46%
Wins by 3 goals3.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.02%10.98%
1.564.76%35.24%
2.537.97%62.03%
3.518.24%81.76%
4.57.35%92.65%
5.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.76%34.24%
1.529.06%70.94%
2.59.40%90.60%
3.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.93%32.07%
1.531.46%68.54%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.04%35.96%
1.527.26%72.74%
2.58.45%91.55%
3.52.04%97.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.98%
12.49%
7.10%
2.69%
0.77%
0.17%
1
11.77%
13.38%
7.61%
2.88%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.31%
7.17%
4.08%
1.55%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.25%
2.56%
1.46%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.60%
0.69%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.77%
2-06.31%
2-17.17%
3-02.25%
3-12.56%
3-21.46%
4-00.60%
4-10.69%
4-20.39%
4-30.15%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.98%
1-113.38%
2-24.08%
3-30.55%
Millwall
0-112.49%
0-27.10%
1-27.61%
0-32.69%
1-32.88%
2-31.55%
0-40.77%
1-40.82%
2-40.44%
3-40.16%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.96%
18.93%
4.98%
0.87%
0.12%
1
17.84%
9.40%
2.47%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.43%
2.33%
0.61%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.73%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.84%
2-04.43%
2-12.33%
3-00.73%
3-10.39%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.96%
1-19.40%
2-20.61%
Millwall
0-118.93%
0-24.98%
1-22.47%
0-30.87%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.12%
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