Cardiff City at Swansea City

Updated

Cardiff City

27.7%24.6%47.7%
Cardiff City WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 3

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Reading+100
L 4-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+300
L 1-5 at Blackburn+210
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+205
L 0-1 at Coventry City+245
Swansea City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Derby County+205
L 1-3 at Fulham+725
W 0-1 vs Huddersfield+135
T 3-3 at Luton Town+260
T 0-0 vs Millwall+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+195+215+230+233+215+230+233+242.1
Swansea City+140+135+136+146+135+136+146+152.7
Draw+210+210+210+212+215+210+215+220.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+210---+190+230+230+242.1
Swansea City+140---+125+135+135+152.7
Draw+220---+195+210+210+220.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +220 to +210
Swansea City ML moved from +142 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +225 to +215
Swansea City ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+106-o2¼+105o2¼+106o2¼+112
Underu2+108u2+115u2¼-125u2¼-119-u2¼-125u2¼-119u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.43%
Exactly 225.11%
Exactly 414.14%
Exactly 63.18%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.32%
Exactly 321.76%
Exactly 57.35%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 038.47%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.55%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 019.32%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 314.31%
Exactly 45.88%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.01%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 064.26%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 046.71%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 213.53%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals7.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals28.82%
Wins by 3+ goals12.37%
Wins by 4+ goals4.33%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals16.45%
Wins by 3 goals8.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.57%7.43%
1.573.25%26.75%
2.548.15%51.85%
3.526.39%73.61%
4.512.25%87.75%
5.54.90%95.10%
6.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.53%38.47%
1.524.78%75.22%
2.57.23%92.77%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.68%19.32%
1.548.92%51.08%
2.522.81%77.19%
3.58.50%91.50%
4.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.99%30.01%
1.533.87%66.13%
2.512.13%87.87%
3.53.41%96.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.43%
12.22%
10.04%
5.51%
2.26%
0.74%
1
7.10%
11.67%
9.60%
5.26%
2.16%
0.71%
2
3.39%
5.58%
4.58%
2.51%
1.03%
0.34%
3
1.08%
1.78%
1.46%
0.80%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.26%
0.42%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-07.10%
2-03.39%
2-15.58%
3-01.08%
3-11.78%
3-21.46%
4-00.26%
4-10.42%
4-20.35%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.43%
1-111.67%
2-24.58%
3-30.80%
Swansea City
0-112.22%
0-210.04%
1-29.60%
0-35.51%
1-35.26%
2-32.51%
0-42.26%
1-42.16%
2-41.03%
3-40.33%
0-50.74%
1-50.71%
2-50.34%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.01%
22.85%
8.70%
2.21%
0.42%
1
13.27%
10.11%
3.85%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.94%
2.23%
0.85%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.43%
0.33%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-013.27%
2-02.94%
2-12.23%
3-00.43%
3-10.33%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.01%
1-110.11%
2-20.85%
Swansea City
0-122.85%
0-28.70%
1-23.85%
0-32.21%
1-30.98%
2-30.22%
0-40.42%
1-40.19%