Stoke City at Burnley

Updated

Stoke City

19.7%24.4%55.8%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.65
0Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+225
L 2-0 vs Leeds United+675
L 0-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+345
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City+110
L 1-2 at Luton Town+280
Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 at Middlesbrough+185
W 2-0 at Sheffield United+225
W 1-2 vs Watford-140
W 2-1 at Norwich City+165
T 0-0 vs Derby County-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+460+572+525+530+573+530+573+582.4
Burnley-165-197-200-213-209-213-197-169.0
Draw+265+338+310+310+330+310+338+344.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+550---+500+575+575+582.4
Burnley-180----225-200-200-169.0
Draw+295---+270+325+325+344.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +530 to +500
Burnley ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +580 to +570
Burnley ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2½-113o2½-112o2½-112o2½-120o2½-112o2½-112o2½-102
Underu2+105u2½-104u2½-108u2½-108u2½+100u2½-108u2½+100u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-125 to o2½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.01%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 413.56%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.22%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.83%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.89%
Exactly 34.62%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 019.15%
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 314.41%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.07%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.80%
Exactly 126.95%
Exactly 25.44%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 046.52%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.62%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals6.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals30.45%
Wins by 3+ goals13.21%
Wins by 4+ goals4.67%
Wins by 5+ goals1.37%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal13.37%
Wins by 2 goals4.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.36%
Wins by 2 goals17.24%
Wins by 3 goals8.54%
Wins by 4 goals3.30%
Wins by 5 goals1.04%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.99%8.01%
1.571.77%28.23%
2.546.25%53.75%
3.524.77%75.23%
4.511.21%88.79%
5.54.37%95.63%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.17%41.83%
1.521.71%78.29%
2.55.82%94.18%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.85%19.15%
1.549.20%50.80%
2.523.04%76.96%
3.58.63%91.37%
4.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.93%31.07%
1.532.61%67.39%
2.511.38%88.62%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Burnley
Score012345
0
8.01%
13.24%
10.94%
6.03%
2.49%
0.82%
1
6.98%
11.54%
9.54%
5.25%
2.17%
0.72%
2
3.04%
5.03%
4.16%
2.29%
0.95%
0.31%
3
0.88%
1.46%
1.21%
0.67%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.19%
0.32%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-06.98%
2-03.04%
2-15.03%
3-00.88%
3-11.46%
3-21.21%
4-00.19%
4-10.32%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.01%
1-111.54%
2-24.16%
3-30.67%
Burnley
0-113.24%
0-210.94%
1-29.54%
0-36.03%
1-35.25%
2-32.29%
0-42.49%
1-42.17%
2-40.95%
3-40.27%
0-50.82%
1-50.72%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Burnley
Score01234
0
31.07%
23.78%
9.10%
2.32%
0.44%
1
12.54%
9.60%
3.67%
0.94%
0.18%
2
2.53%
1.94%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.34%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.54%
2-02.53%
2-11.94%
3-00.34%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.07%
1-19.60%
2-20.74%
Burnley
0-123.78%
0-29.10%
1-23.67%
0-32.32%
1-30.94%
2-30.19%
0-40.44%
1-40.18%
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