Leeds United at Stoke City

Updated

Leeds United

51.0%24.8%24.2%
Leeds United WinDrawStoke City Win
1.61Projected Goals 1.03
2Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Oxford United-700
T 1-1 at Preston North End-155
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough-145
W 0-2 vs Derby County-280
L 0-1 at Blackburn-145
Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+345
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City+110
L 1-2 at Luton Town+280
L 1-2 at Sunderland+380
L 2-0 vs Burnley+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-155-208-210-217-221-217-208-172.6
Stoke City+380+594+550+500+567+500+594+548.7
Draw+290+354+340+335+345+335+354+370.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-195----240-230-230-172.6
Stoke City+535---+475+675+675+548.7
Draw+330---+300+350+350+370.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leeds United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -227 to -233
Stoke City ML moved from +605 to +567

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Stoke City: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leeds United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Stoke City: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -210 to -230
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-129o2¾+102o2¾+101o2¾+101o2¾+101o2½-129o2¾+110
Underu2½-122u2½+110u2¾-122u2¾-121u2¾-123u2¾-121u2¾-121u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+102 to o2½-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.11%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.47%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.65%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 019.90%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.96%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.40%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 047.36%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.23%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.08%
Exactly 129.60%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals26.91%
Wins by 3+ goals11.32%
Wins by 4+ goals3.89%
Wins by 5+ goals1.11%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.77%
Wins by 3+ goals2.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.05%
Wins by 2 goals15.59%
Wins by 3 goals7.43%
Wins by 4 goals2.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal15.34%
Wins by 2 goals6.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.89%7.11%
1.574.10%25.90%
2.549.26%50.74%
3.527.36%72.64%
4.512.89%87.11%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.10%19.90%
1.547.97%52.03%
2.522.04%77.96%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.60%29.40%
1.534.61%65.39%
2.512.58%87.42%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Stoke City
Score01234
0
7.11%
7.32%
3.77%
1.29%
0.33%
1
11.47%
11.81%
6.08%
2.09%
0.54%
2
9.26%
9.54%
4.91%
1.69%
0.43%
3
4.98%
5.13%
2.64%
0.91%
0.23%
4
2.01%
2.07%
1.07%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.65%
0.67%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
Leeds United
1-011.47%
2-09.26%
2-19.54%
3-04.98%
3-15.13%
3-22.64%
4-02.01%
4-12.07%
4-21.07%
4-30.37%
5-00.65%
5-10.67%
5-20.34%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.11%
1-111.81%
2-24.91%
3-30.91%
Stoke City
0-17.32%
0-23.77%
1-26.08%
0-31.29%
1-32.09%
2-31.69%
0-40.33%
1-40.54%
2-40.43%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Stoke City
Score0123
0
29.40%
14.02%
3.34%
0.53%
1
21.97%
10.48%
2.50%
0.40%
2
8.21%
3.92%
0.93%
0.15%
3
2.05%
0.98%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Leeds United
1-021.97%
2-08.21%
2-13.92%
3-02.05%
3-10.98%
3-20.23%
4-00.38%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-029.40%
1-110.48%
2-20.93%
Stoke City
0-114.02%
0-23.34%
1-22.50%
0-30.53%
1-30.40%
2-30.15%
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